NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbba30652367a6dcf3833811dafb647c09d19fd7186e969ab0d695fd4da172de

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $404,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $409,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,383 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	49c	149,100$73,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,928.28	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under	51c	113,197$58,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,259.18	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under	50c	26,472$13,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,171.11	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over	49c	19,893$9,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200.5	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	49c	19,893$9,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200.5	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under	51c	19,031$9,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,706	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	50c	11,245$5,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,622.61	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under	51c	9,706$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,950.06	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	46c	9,632$4,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,430.77	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Under	48c	9,295$4,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,461.41	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under	43c	8,097$3,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,447.78	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over	58c	6,889$3,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,893.48	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under	51c	6,851$3,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,494.16	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3fd…ca86backed Under	48c	6,785$3,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,256.95	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over	50c	6,208$3,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,104	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,059.93	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Under	48c	5,546$2,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,662.26	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under	52c	5,289$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,750.43	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	51c	4,833$2,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,455.48	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	51c	4,365$2,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,215.78	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over	23c	4,063$934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,128.6	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	79c	3,855$3,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,045.77	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Under	51c	3,806$1,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,941.2	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Under	51c	3,758$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,935.01	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	34c	3,693$1,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,443.14	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	64c	3,281$2,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,086.49	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Over	52c	3,250$1,690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over	55c	3,122$1,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,414.34	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over	22c	3,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,340	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under	48c	2,773$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.23	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over	50c	2,600$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.8	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	49c	2,431$1,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,191.07	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	48c	2,035$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,058.24	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over	52c	1,999$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$964.42	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over	49c	1,983$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.5	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Over	22c	1,954$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.43	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under	48c	1,897$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.67	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	50c	1,871$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.09	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Over	49c	1,591$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.61	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	50c	1,521$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.5	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over	52c	1,494$777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$717.19	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over	50c	1,470$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.82	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbffd…d0b5backed Over	55c	1,397$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632.18	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	49c	1,390$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.25	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over	51c	1,125$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.48	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x531b…32b6backed Under	45c	1,073$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.85	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under	48c	1,040$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.2	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	730	51.8%378 W · 352 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over	52c	936.82$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.67	102	56.9%58 W · 44 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	49c	893.89$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	58c	886.59$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.03	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over	48c	871.92$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.4	251	55%138 W · 113 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under	1c	799.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-88.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over	50c	776$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388	384	53.4%205 W · 179 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under	50c	770.41$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.84	186	50%93 W · 93 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e6f…8c21backed Over	52c	708.98$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.31	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over	47c	692.18$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.85	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Under	48c	673.81$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.43	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	61c	641.26$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.64	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Over	37c	640$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.2	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+7.3wins	+0.16per pick	33cpaid	+82%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	49c	639.8$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.44	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	79c	628.94$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over	50c	617.54$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.09	332	51.2%170 W · 162 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over	48c	605.5$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.86	145	49%71 W · 74 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3dd…cdaebacked Under	49c	592.47$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.77	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over	50c	587.69$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.98	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over	56c	584.27$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.72	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Under	12c	579.49$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.15	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	11cpaid	+22%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under	10c	568.68$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.31	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over	52c	560.31$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.95	280	46.8%131 W · 149 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1baf…c31ebacked Over	51c	558.1$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.47	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…4a6cbacked Under	50c	549.93$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under	54c	526.05$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.67	188	44.7%84 W · 104 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over	7c	522.13$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.48	313	45.7%143 W · 170 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	61c	504.34$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.47	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over	51c	499.99$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce49…af42backed Over	50c	494.7$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.35	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d87…f13cbacked Under	52c	490.59$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.04	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under	50c	485.19$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.5	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Under	50c	485$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.5	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	50c	484.91$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.73	348	50.9%177 W · 171 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under	49c	484.82$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.5	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Under	53c	444.77$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.66	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over	52c	437.04$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.78	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	49c	428$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.72	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	53c	427.35$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.85	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Over	51c	423.75$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.55	390	51.5%201 W · 189 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under	48c	399.99$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	156	50%78 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Under	51c	399.66$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.83	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over	40c	399.34$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.61	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over	49c	395.67$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.79	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over	51c	386.67$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.47	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under	71c	386.16$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.17	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over	52c	383.01$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.84	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under	74c	382.51$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.29	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over	52c	373.54$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.3	141	55.3%78 W · 63 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Heat vs. HornetsHornets won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5No won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5No won
Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5No won
Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event