TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,804 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed No43c599.21$256 inLost-$256.345,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x735f…c2d5backed Yes57c280.12$161 inWon+$119.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-56.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Yes53c191.59$102 inWon+$90.053161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Yes58c190.05$110 inWon+$80.4112047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed No44c144.97$63 inLost-$63.449947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked No47c123.6$58 inLost-$58.0993145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed No45c99.97$45 inLost-$44.9940053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b80…a0d2backed Yes57c70.14$40 inWon+$30.163548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No47c51.8$24 inLost-$24.266046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes57c51.27$29 inWon+$22.0512548%60 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed No44c49.99$22 inLost-$21.995147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No43c49.98$21 inLost-$21.4995049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ae…4e6abacked Yes57c42.73$24 inWon+$18.37922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6772…8ef5backed No49c39.76$19 inLost-$19.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b1…5aafbacked Yes55c38.6$21 inWon+$17.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No40c37.47$15 inLost-$14.9979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfea…dc29backed Yes56c35.19$20 inWon+$15.487150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed Yes56c34.48$19 inWon+$1524566.9%164 W · 81 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0283…cd2dbacked Yes57c32.47$19 inWon+$13.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes55c31.84$18 inWon+$14.3310844.4%48 W · 60 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Yes51c31.01$16 inWon+$15.2875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No42c27.15$11 inLost-$11.4326957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191b…824abacked Yes56c26.08$15 inWon+$11.475253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d1…6398backed Yes56c25.42$14 inWon+$11.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5345…666abacked Yes56c20.76$12 inWon+$9.136942%29 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.