TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under50c3,801$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.820545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Under50c2,642$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.144032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Over51c2,347$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.943948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c1,636$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over48c1,211$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.7213544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Over47c1,201$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.043951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over77c984.72$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9914046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c643.05$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under26c502$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.840440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under53c458.4$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9520946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under45c333.59$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3665630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c328.88$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c303.31$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Over52c300.86$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.614940.8%20 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c289.58$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over43c277.58$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.041,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under20c266$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2613837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c247.8$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.072,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over38c206.74$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e33…ded0backed Over50c205.16$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under64c202.55$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d87…f13cbacked Under51c201.73$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.881346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a2…ca26backed Under51c195.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under70c183.81$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.031,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c168.45$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over62c158.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over11c146.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2510743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under52c141.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6731046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under9c140$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.631238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over48c137.25$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.376233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b8f…43adbacked Over51c134.93$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under20c133$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1323649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under20c133$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1345544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under9c129.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6626639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Under21c128.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.657839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under52c127.16$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c118.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.691,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under52c115.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over47c104.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4620146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x088a…9ee7backed Under54c100.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.455056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Under21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5326745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under21c99.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4816640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Under49c99.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.479854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d5…7620backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.823253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Under52c88.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.712842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x449f…f386backed Over26c88.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.49per pick35cpaid+196.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61d9…34b4backed Under51c85.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2551…217cbacked Under51c83.74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.711546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c81.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.981,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over32c78.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1210523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under52c77.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2522349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under53c74.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over51c73.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0233653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Under51c67.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.521428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-53.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under71c66.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.992,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c60.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.721,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c58.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.371,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under51c57.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.216825%17 W · 51 L-12.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under48c54.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8637753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under21c53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1321242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under21c53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1323441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c51.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Under21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.514449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over46c49.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8528643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over50c49.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7427945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c49.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over48c47.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5727354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec3…2c88backed Under52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.285761.4%35 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Under51c45.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4411242.9%48 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under55c45.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8415663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c45.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under54c43.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4831953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc42…b12cbacked Under51c43.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0350%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over49c41.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.220350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over49c40.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under51c39.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.241,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.398048.8%39 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Over37c39.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.993231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under65c33.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0320247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1562…b34ebacked Over49c32.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824a…3a3abacked Over49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca7…0f98backed Over49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Under68c30.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.853158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x194f…8ec0backed Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa062…999cbacked Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8c…f733backed Over48c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over52c29.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.993650%18 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over72c28.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c1…ab1ebacked Under54c28.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.141428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+135.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c27.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Under80c27.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.659450%47 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over49c25.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.216743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.