NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x803f779f5f797bd7518f8692bc3ce9aaaa937f2d65e360018d25e2b00be0482d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 50c | 3,801$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.8 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Under | 50c | 2,642$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.14 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Over | 51c | 2,347$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.94 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 1,636$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.71 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over | 48c | 1,211$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.72 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Over | 47c | 1,201$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Over | 77c | 984.72$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 643.05$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 26c | 502$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 45c | 333.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 328.88$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 303.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 52c | 300.86$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 289.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 43c | 277.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 20c | 266$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 247.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 38c | 206.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…ded0backed Over | 50c | 205.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 64c | 202.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d87…f13cbacked Under | 51c | 201.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a2…ca26backed Under | 51c | 195.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 70c | 183.81$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 33c | 168.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 62c | 158.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 11c | 146.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 52c | 141.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 48c | 137.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…43adbacked Over | 51c | 134.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 20c | 133$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 20c | 133$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 9c | 129.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Under | 21c | 128.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 52c | 127.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 118.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 52c | 115.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 47c | 104.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Under | 54c | 100.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 21c | 99.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Under | 49c | 99.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…7620backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 52c | 88.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Over | 26c | 88.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 35cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…34b4backed Under | 51c | 85.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Under | 51c | 83.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 81.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 52c | 77.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 74.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 51c | 73.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 51c | 67.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 71c | 66.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 60.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 58.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 51c | 57.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | -12.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 48c | 54.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 51.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 46c | 49.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 50c | 49.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 49.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 48c | 47.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…2c88backed Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 51c | 45.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 55c | 45.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 45.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 54c | 43.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Under | 51c | 43.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 49c | 41.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 51c | 39.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Over | 37c | 39.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 65c | 33.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1562…b34ebacked Over | 49c | 32.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3a3abacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…0f98backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Under | 68c | 30.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…8ec0backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa062…999cbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…f733backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Over | 72c | 28.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c1…ab1ebacked Under | 54c | 28.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 27.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Under | 80c | 27.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 49c | 25.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Heat vs. HornetsHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.