NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f536b96e4c26e24427b2eccd784aa7f651cf1c3f0106d88855cfa0907402a52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 48c | 9,980$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.52 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Over | 51c | 6,021$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 5,343$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 4,049$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.84 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 3c | 3,600$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 2c | 3,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 3,348$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.6 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Over | 56c | 3,306$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.57 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 2c | 3,050$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Under | 49c | 2,754$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.35 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 52c | 2,672$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.45 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab0…3c26backed Over | 52c | 2,202$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Over | 57c | 1,934$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.48 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,800$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.67 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…3d96backed Over | 56c | 1,640$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 55c | 1,628$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.53 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over | 52c | 1,609$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 22c | 1,530$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.96 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 52c | 1,515$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.02 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Under | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 52c | 1,486$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.36 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 49c | 1,477$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.91 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,104$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 51c | 1,023$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.93 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 949.69$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 46c | 898.19$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.17 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 13c | 877.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…ccc1backed Over | 56c | 866.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.7 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 69c | 858.02$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.44 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 49c | 841.8$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.48 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 812.57$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.43 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 71c | 719.55$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.4 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 17c | 710$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 60c | 689.12$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.02 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 33c | 688.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.44 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 52c | 668.63$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.94 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 32c | 601.61$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.51 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 55c | 592.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.04 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 30c | 590.24$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.29 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 11c | 586$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 45c | 582.92$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.22 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 579.56$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.34 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 45c | 575.3$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.32 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 45c | 537.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.75 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 531.98$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 54c | 519.15$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.65 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 47c | 508.31$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…b30abacked Over | 52c | 475.89$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 53c | 461.61$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.95 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 66c | 461.39$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.12 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 45c | 453.78$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 447.34$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 45c | 435.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 58c | 426.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 52c | 399.69$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ca…fb01backed Over | 32c | 390.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 35c | 388.63$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.87 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 17c | 355$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 21c | 351$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…03e9backed Over | 57c | 341.84$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Under | 46c | 330.73$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Under | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 11c | 293$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 11c | 293$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 11c | 293$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 11c | 293$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…9fccbacked Over | 45c | 291.69$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.98 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 291.42$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.72 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…0c2abacked Over | 53c | 289.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 279.65$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 55c | 265.52$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 44c | 262.89$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 55c | 262.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 259.64$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 44c | 254.44$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…2f95backed Over | 52c | 251.37$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 53c | 250$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 8c | 240$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 48c | 234.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over | 55c | 226.24$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Under | 48c | 224.04$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 210.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Heat vs. HornetsHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.