NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc686833b62c535df670edde17fe321c6568b324b6d93551cefb78767def15c2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Heat, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,247,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,112,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,247,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Hornets | 69c | 725,867$499,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,391.92 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Heat | 31c | 414,377$130,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,313.05 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Heat | 31c | 370,679$114,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,910.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 30c | 214,358$64,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,465.83 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hornets | 61c | 156,377$95,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,686.7 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Hornets | 68c | 152,024$103,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,647.68 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Heat | 30c | 147,532$44,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,259.6 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Heat | 31c | 122,807$38,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,070.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 32c | 100,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,999.98 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Heat | 31c | 95,860$29,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,716.6 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked Heat | 33c | 86,755$28,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,629.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat | 31c | 81,000$25,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,110 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Heat | 48c | 78,044$37,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,575.81 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Heat | 33c | 75,119$25,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,082.24 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…7452backed Heat | 0c | 71,747$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Hornets | 77c | 70,190$53,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,395.99 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets | 70c | 70,143$49,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,042.86 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Hornets | 70c | 66,285$46,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,885.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Hornets | 79c | 65,798$52,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,516.84 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Heat | 32c | 63,322$20,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,229.96 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Hornets | 70c | 60,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.97 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 31c | 58,799$18,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,199.1 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Hornets | 62c | 58,350$36,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,177.44 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hornets | 52c | 54,104$27,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,190.03 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…92adbacked Hornets | 64c | 53,801$34,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,368.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Hornets | 64c | 52,921$33,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,206.06 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Hornets | 70c | 51,000$35,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Heat | 32c | 49,579$15,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,669.62 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Hornets | 70c | 49,100$34,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,730 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 30c | 46,444$13,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,933.05 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Hornets | 46c | 45,513$20,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,585.24 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 13c | 43,604$5,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,728.86 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Hornets | 66c | 41,153$27,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,929.16 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets | 34c | 40,500$13,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,879.78 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 32c | 39,998$12,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,799.5 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Heat | 55c | 35,541$19,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,529.51 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hornets | 32c | 33,886$10,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,146.07 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…f88abacked Heat | 12c | 33,795$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Heat | 9c | 33,180$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.35 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heat | 51c | 31,249$16,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,005.34 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Heat | 32c | 29,999$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.71 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Heat | 64c | 29,714$18,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,902.41 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 40c | 29,431$11,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,629.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Heat | 31c | 28,758$8,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,914.98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 30c | 27,624$8,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,260.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Hornets | 22c | 26,756$6,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,746.97 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Heat | 30c | 26,259$7,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,872.24 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Hornets | 66c | 24,975$16,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,441.64 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Hornets | 76c | 22,974$17,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,447.41 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heat | 31c | 22,916$7,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,052.16 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Heat | 78c | 22,875$17,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,785.81 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 31c | 22,053$6,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,941.59 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Hornets | 40c | 21,912$8,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,156 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Heat | 25c | 21,604$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.27 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Hornets | 69c | 19,885$13,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144.25 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Heat | 31c | 19,877$6,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,259.47 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Heat | 28c | 19,215$5,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,393.6 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Hornets | 5c | 17,977$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,077.8 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Heat | 30c | 16,746$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.75 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Hornets | 70c | 15,555$10,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Hornets | 67c | 15,337$10,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,061.11 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Hornets | 70c | 15,225$10,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Hornets | 70c | 15,041$10,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Hornets | 43c | 14,532$6,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,222.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Heat | 31c | 14,379$4,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,457.49 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Hornets | 55c | 14,346$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,416.06 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Hornets | 64c | 13,758$8,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.48 | 179 | 62%111 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Heat | 29c | 13,613$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.43 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Heat | 30c | 13,544$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.35 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Hornets | 69c | 13,000$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Heat | 32c | 12,413$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.27 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Heat | 32c | 12,345$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950.4 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Heat | 50c | 11,668$5,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,835.63 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Heat | 31c | 11,503$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.99 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 45c | 11,440$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,302.11 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…fafabacked Hornets | 77c | 11,139$8,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.88 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heat | 38c | 11,075$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.68 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets | 33c | 10,899$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,340.65 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Hornets | 18c | 10,200$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.68 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Hornets | 68c | 10,096$6,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.87 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Hornets | 76c | 10,024$7,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.65 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…d5bbbacked Heat | 29c | 10,002$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Hornets | 71c | 9,988$7,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.5 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Heat | 26c | 9,745$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.45 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Heat | 19c | 9,712$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Heat | 34c | 9,604$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.36 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…ff07backed Heat | 29c | 9,577$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Heat | 31c | 9,000$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…5318backed Hornets | 68c | 8,736$5,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Heat | 40c | 8,733$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.75 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Hornets | 78c | 8,723$6,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 30c | 8,663$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.99 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Heat | 31c | 8,541$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.66 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…9506backed Heat | 30c | 8,308$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Hornets | 69c | 8,300$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2182…e191backed Hornets | 71c | 8,289$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Hornets | 72c | 8,174$5,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.91 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Heat | 49c | 7,968$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.78 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hornets | 67c | 7,775$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.6 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 33c | 7,645$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.66 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.