NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x726850fc2721bbde894a968defbbc3b7b84583e40c521795fffdbd26df7ab81a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Under | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.99 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 44c | 5,799$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 52c | 3,228$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.11 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…e372backed Under | 56c | 3,009$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 34c | 2,938$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 2,732$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.88 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 46c | 2,633$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.81 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 44c | 2,385$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.84 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 52c | 1,961$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.77 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 47c | 1,885$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.55 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,834$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…6d1cbacked Under | 53c | 1,817$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 56c | 1,813$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…ca86backed Under | 55c | 1,475$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 1,403$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.12 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 9c | 1,365$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.88 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 12c | 1,035$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Over | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 52c | 805.11$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.91 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 43c | 750.14$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 730.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.06 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over | 45c | 730.62$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.84 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 35c | 676.42$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.38 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c1…fca4backed Under | 75c | 635.13$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.3 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 599.2$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 52c | 547.5$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 53c | 542.5$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…cc06backed Under | 54c | 541.64$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Over | 46c | 507.39$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…21e1backed Over | 47c | 495.7$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 18c | 469.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.96 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 45c | 467.47$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.11 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 44c | 462.44$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.83 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 460.56$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.7 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 439.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.19 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 46c | 399.97$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 385.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.04 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 43c | 353.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 13c | 353.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 324.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.57 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f5…ab8cbacked Over | 16c | 296.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d87…f13cbacked Under | 53c | 290.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…f1ecbacked Under | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…685abacked Over | 19c | 255$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…41d1backed Under | 56c | 243.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…7abebacked Over | 47c | 237.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 57c | 233.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 43c | 228.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 47c | 223.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 18c | 214$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.42 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 180.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 55c | 177.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…6b6cbacked Under | 53c | 165.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 54c | 156.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 45c | 154.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Over | 20c | 117.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 35cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 45c | 107.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 67c | 98.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Under | 38c | 95.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 57c | 91.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 56c | 90.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…34b4backed Under | 53c | 89.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…0da9backed Under | 73c | 89.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 30c | 86.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 49c | 86.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Under | 53c | 80.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 76.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 54c | 76.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 43c | 71.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 45c | 71.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Over | 45c | 71.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 16c | 69.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Under | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 30c | 65.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed Under | 58c | 61.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 48c | 58.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 53c | 55.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Over | 45c | 52.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 53c | 50.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Over | 47c | 47.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…07d1backed Under | 54c | 45.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Under | 53c | 44.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over | 48c | 42.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 46c | 39.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…3a43backed Under | 74c | 39.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Heat vs. HornetsHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.