TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heatof Hornets, Heat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets47c23,808$11,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,189.7748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Heat52c14,886$7,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,145.3817251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Heat52c13,538$7,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,498.2412450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hornets48c13,119$6,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,296.9966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets46c11,142$5,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,159.211,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets48c10,899$5,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,231.521,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Hornets48c10,356$4,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,971.0117348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Heat53c7,795$4,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.5615850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Heat52c6,646$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.2120051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets48c6,435$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Heat53c5,952$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.3524847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Hornets35c5,146$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.9919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Heat53c4,859$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.7372241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heat68c4,827$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.492,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Heat50c4,450$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.411,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Hornets16c3,989$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.0752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets31c3,981$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.693,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ccc…282abacked Heat53c3,845$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Heat53c3,667$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.5720843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hornets47c3,600$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6921,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Heat53c3,579$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.219359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Hornets48c3,445$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.7422036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Heat52c3,313$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.2113946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets43c3,047$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Hornets40c2,959$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.761,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heat80c2,517$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51148845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Hornets55c2,409$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.5619937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Hornets20c2,151$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.7946426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Heat52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Heat53c1,956$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.222948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9102…89d6backed Hornets37c1,924$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.72050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Heat52c1,900$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91261747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Heat53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.782454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8988…0251backed Heat53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.78875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Heat61c1,586$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.471,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Hornets48c1,548$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.7910745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Heat53c1,467$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.4362546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hornets47c1,441$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.0557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat50c1,321$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.189,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Heat52c1,286$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.2816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Heat52c1,172$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets48c1,130$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Heat51c1,088$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.4793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Heat52c1,031$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.884045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Heat52c997$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.568248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Heat52c963.73$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.5934854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Heat53c926.14$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.295839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Hornets47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Hornets48c807.96$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.516333.3%21 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Heat50c804.85$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.2414551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc68a…07f0backed Heat53c799.53$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.782842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hornets47c767.03$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.51,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Hornets48c640.38$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3845251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Hornets54c640.03$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.255743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Heat41c587.95$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.859140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Hornets51c587.43$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9625550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd1…cef5backed Heat53c583.08$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.052646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba4b…cc06backed Heat53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.541650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Hornets39c542.84$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.431,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Hornets37c540.88$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2461638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Hornets52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Heat53c485.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3722846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Heat44c454$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.244734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Hornets41c426.69$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8815353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hornets54c408.33$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.222,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Heat52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1924339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Heat51c399.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Heat53c398.44$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2742348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat56c393.82$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.091,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Heat41c384.19$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Heat53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3628554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Heat64c339.37$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2834255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa04b…f09bbacked Heat58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Hornets54c313.41$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5213441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Heat50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15066645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Hornets53c291.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.522744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Heat73c280$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.471,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Heat53c275.02$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.267452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Heat54c269$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0512637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Hornets47c262.82$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.521,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hornets59c253.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets47c251.62$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.753,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Hornets11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Heat53c247.53$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.345259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Heat53c224.28$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcada…f2a3backed Heat52c220.35$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.772352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Heat53c220.03$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4113153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Hornets48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8451451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Heat53c203.53$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6610945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Heat53c201.69$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.89558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Heat53c200.58$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.277833.3%26 W · 52 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Heat51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.87339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Heat53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.917748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Heat53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.97839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Hornets48c199$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5228838.2%110 W · 178 L-18.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Hornets48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9321139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Heat58c184.88$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.651266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x428d…8cb6backed Heat53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.182560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.