NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99bd87de5f731c67c23bea7c3b457906726cfe97541df928595f705f79ad16ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Hornets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets | 47c | 23,808$11,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,189.77 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Heat | 52c | 14,886$7,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,145.38 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Heat | 52c | 13,538$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,498.24 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hornets | 48c | 13,119$6,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,296.99 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets | 46c | 11,142$5,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.21 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets | 48c | 10,899$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,231.52 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Hornets | 48c | 10,356$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.01 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Heat | 53c | 7,795$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.56 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Heat | 52c | 6,646$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.21 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 48c | 6,435$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Heat | 53c | 5,952$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.35 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Hornets | 35c | 5,146$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.99 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 53c | 4,859$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.73 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 68c | 4,827$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.49 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Heat | 50c | 4,450$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.41 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Hornets | 16c | 3,989$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.07 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets | 31c | 3,981$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.69 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…282abacked Heat | 53c | 3,845$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Heat | 53c | 3,667$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.57 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hornets | 47c | 3,600$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Heat | 53c | 3,579$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.2 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Hornets | 48c | 3,445$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.74 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Heat | 52c | 3,313$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.21 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 43c | 3,047$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.67 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hornets | 40c | 2,959$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.76 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heat | 80c | 2,517$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Hornets | 55c | 2,409$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.56 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Hornets | 20c | 2,151$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.79 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Heat | 53c | 1,956$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.2 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…89d6backed Hornets | 37c | 1,924$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Heat | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Heat | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8988…0251backed Heat | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heat | 61c | 1,586$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.47 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Hornets | 48c | 1,548$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.79 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Heat | 53c | 1,467$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.43 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Hornets | 47c | 1,441$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.05 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 50c | 1,321$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Heat | 52c | 1,286$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.28 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Heat | 52c | 1,172$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.55 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 48c | 1,130$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Heat | 51c | 1,088$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.47 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Heat | 52c | 1,031$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.88 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Heat | 52c | 997$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.56 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Heat | 52c | 963.73$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.59 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Heat | 53c | 926.14$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.29 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Hornets | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Hornets | 48c | 807.96$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.51 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Heat | 50c | 804.85$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.24 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Heat | 53c | 799.53$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Hornets | 47c | 767.03$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.5 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Hornets | 48c | 640.38$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.38 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Hornets | 54c | 640.03$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.25 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Heat | 41c | 587.95$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Hornets | 51c | 587.43$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.96 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…cef5backed Heat | 53c | 583.08$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…cc06backed Heat | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Hornets | 39c | 542.84$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.43 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Hornets | 37c | 540.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Hornets | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Heat | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Heat | 44c | 454$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Hornets | 41c | 426.69$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Hornets | 54c | 408.33$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.22 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Heat | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Heat | 53c | 398.44$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.27 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat | 56c | 393.82$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Heat | 41c | 384.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Heat | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Heat | 64c | 339.37$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked Heat | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Hornets | 54c | 313.41$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Heat | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Hornets | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heat | 73c | 280$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Heat | 53c | 275.02$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Heat | 54c | 269$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Hornets | 47c | 262.82$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hornets | 59c | 253.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets | 47c | 251.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Hornets | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Heat | 53c | 247.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Heat | 53c | 224.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…f2a3backed Heat | 52c | 220.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Heat | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Hornets | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Heat | 53c | 203.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Heat | 53c | 201.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Heat | 53c | 200.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Heat | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Heat | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Heat | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Hornets | 48c | 199$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Hornets | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Heat | 58c | 184.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Heat | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Heat vs. HornetsHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.