NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689930f4ed83912b141c5ba105ae4ab6d39fd38015b9d4fa55fdfed0a5661d42

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Hornets, Heat
Resolved: Apr 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,278,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,293,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,278,207 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Heat	48c	460,162$220,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239,284.38	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Hornets	52c	399,854$207,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207,924.23	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	47c	106,775$50,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,590.92	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets	53c	91,292$48,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,596.97	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Heat	48c	89,999$43,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,599.55	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets	52c	76,690$39,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,708.97	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Hornets	52c	75,000$39,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,000	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets	51c	60,000$30,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,699.98	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Hornets	50c	56,203$28,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,137.89	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Heat	49c	49,463$24,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,226.76	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Heat	52c	41,121$21,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,823.91	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Hornets	52c	29,565$15,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,373.94	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets	53c	27,335$14,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,382.74	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Heat	48c	25,105$12,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,993.55	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heat	42c	22,404$9,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,896.96	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat	46c	21,207$9,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,451.94	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets	51c	20,580$10,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,495.73	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Heat	49c	20,005$9,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,202.41	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Heat	49c	19,784$9,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,089.67	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Heat	48c	19,688$9,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,237.79	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Heat	48c	18,165$8,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,445.8	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Hornets	60c	16,000$9,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,600	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets	52c	15,000$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,799.98	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Heat	47c	15,000$7,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,949.93	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Hornets	53c	11,990$6,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,354.96	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Heat	48c	11,626$5,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,045.31	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Hornets	53c	10,564$5,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,594.11	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked Hornets	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets	52c	9,576$4,974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,974.35	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Heat	49c	8,900$4,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,539	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Hornets	51c	8,292$4,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,228.67	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets	48c	7,881$3,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,786.4	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hornets	41c	7,685$3,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,175.93	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Heat	48c	7,631$3,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,968.1	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa93…5c47backed Hornets	51c	7,597$3,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,874.64	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets	8c	7,119$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.93	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Hornets	53c	6,602$3,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,498.46	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets	48c	6,597$3,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,167.3	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8a…9506backed Heat	45c	5,771$2,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,159.7	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Hornets	53c	5,136$2,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,722.01	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Hornets	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Heat	58c	4,802$2,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,036.14	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Heat	47c	4,255$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,255.15	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Heat	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.29per pick	41cpaid	+395.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Hornets	16c	3,777$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.67	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat	48c	3,750$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,949.98	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Hornets	51c	3,511$1,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790.85	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa51…a910backed Hornets	52c	3,342$1,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,737.63	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Hornets	50c	3,249$1,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,624.7	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Heat	49c	3,150$1,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,617	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Hornets	56c	3,056$1,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703.64	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Heat	48c	2,944$1,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530.95	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Heat	58c	2,924$1,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,228.25	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Hornets	52c	2,802$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.8	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets	52c	2,774$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,435.23	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Heat	48c	2,751$1,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,430.55	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Hornets	53c	2,750$1,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.7	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Heat	47c	2,500$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Heat	48c	2,457$1,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,277.58	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-9.5wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Hornets	53c	2,446$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.17	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hornets	53c	2,446$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.17	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets	53c	2,441$1,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,293.64	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets	52c	2,433$1,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,264.98	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Heat	48c	2,400$1,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,247.97	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Hornets	53c	2,384$1,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,263.34	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+84.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Hornets	53c	2,292$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.75	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-7.3wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Hornets	51c	2,282$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,163.75	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-6.9wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Hornets	51c	2,192$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,118.13	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hornets	53c	2,159$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.45	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Hornets	52c	2,080$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.66	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Heat	48c	2,018$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.53	574	44.1%253 W · 321 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Heat	48c	2,016$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,046.86	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Heat	48c	2,014$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.43	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Heat	47c	2,000$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Hornets	45c	2,000$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Heat	47c	2,000$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,059.99	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Heat	49c	1,939$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$988.79	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Hornets	52c	1,896$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.92	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6975…11c1backed Heat	49c	1,883$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$963.71	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Heat	52c	1,876$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$905.01	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Hornets	52c	1,868$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.2	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Heat	50c	1,790$895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.84	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Heat	50c	1,765$883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$882.7	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Heat	48c	1,761$845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.63	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Heat	49c	1,718$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.25	122	40.2%49 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hornets	59c	1,655$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.36	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Hornets	56c	1,633$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.2	348	52.3%182 W · 166 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	47c	1,500$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.88	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Heat	47c	1,489$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.17	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Heat	48c	1,455$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.41	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Heat	49c	1,450$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.3	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Heat	48c	1,431$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.12	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb0…9489backed Hornets	43c	1,410$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.22	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets	52c	1,362$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.36	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Heat	51c	1,309$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$642.65	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Hornets	52c	1,307$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.84	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Hornets	53c	1,284$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.26	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Heat	49c	1,227$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.56	125	48%60 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Hornets	51c	1,219$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.73	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat	59c	1,177$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.95	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Heat vs. HornetsHornets won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5No won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5No won
Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5No won
Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Heat won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event