CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56493da80f2698a740e5a7707ebe80bf6cae18f318a09e1337e68c5a6a00f04a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WW Teamof WW Team, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed WW Team | 53c | 6,857$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.03 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed WW Team | 44c | 6,013$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.33 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e29…cd86backed WW Team | 30c | 4,923$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,446.11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 52c | 3,971$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.38 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WW Team | 50c | 3,620$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.04 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…ba10backed illwill | 55c | 2,965$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.92 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked illwill | 57c | 2,167$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.34 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed illwill | 57c | 2,125$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.42 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed WW Team | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked illwill | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.98 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked illwill | 51c | 1,548$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.15 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked illwill | 56c | 1,525$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.82 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed illwill | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed illwill | 68c | 1,439$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.89 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed illwill | 51c | 1,409$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.03 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed illwill | 59c | 1,353$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.55 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed illwill | 41c | 1,329$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.26 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed WW Team | 33c | 1,255$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.67 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WW Team | 54c | 1,041$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.72 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked illwill | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed illwill | 56c | 891.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.52 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed WW Team | 34c | 825.28$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.87 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked illwill | 45c | 772.8$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked WW Team | 27c | 760.71$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.33 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed illwill | 10c | 669.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed illwill | 21c | 657.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed illwill | 56c | 653.12$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked WW Team | 45c | 599.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed WW Team | 52c | 559.48$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.11 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked WW Team | 47c | 538.35$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.74 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed illwill | 56c | 515.9$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed WW Team | 51c | 503.55$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.12 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed illwill | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed illwill | 64c | 460.53$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed WW Team | 55c | 459.96$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…f672backed WW Team | 25c | 450.23$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…3ed3backed WW Team | 42c | 435.63$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.66 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked WW Team | 28c | 435.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.47 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c99…dfe9backed WW Team | 45c | 429.77$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WW Team | 48c | 422.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.12 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked illwill | 46c | 420.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed WW Team | 47c | 408.21$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.51 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked illwill | 62c | 396.7$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed illwill | 60c | 394.55$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.66 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked WW Team | 24c | 392.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.61 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked illwill | 13c | 376.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked illwill | 67c | 364.54$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…18b6backed WW Team | 38c | 345.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.47 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed illwill | 68c | 343.34$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.62 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked illwill | 30c | 341.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed illwill | 54c | 330.24$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.56 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed illwill | 55c | 318.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked WW Team | 36c | 316.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked WW Team | 35c | 312.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked WW Team | 46c | 295.12$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0256…1dd7backed WW Team | 47c | 293.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed WW Team | 78c | 283.87$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked illwill | 62c | 280.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.52 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked WW Team | 48c | 272.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.29 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WW Team | 59c | 263.79$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked illwill | 63c | 252.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked WW Team | 67c | 247.35$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked illwill | 44c | 244.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed WW Team | 40c | 240.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed illwill | 48c | 240.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked illwill | 53c | 232.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…b2aebacked illwill | 57c | 222.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…0db0backed WW Team | 54c | 220.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked WW Team | 51c | 217.74$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked illwill | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked illwill | 45c | 209.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed illwill | 69c | 209.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2fb6backed WW Team | 48c | 205.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked illwill | 56c | 197.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed illwill | 47c | 195.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed illwill | 48c | 193.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed illwill | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked illwill | 54c | 185.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed illwill | 62c | 177.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked WW Team | 55c | 176.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed WW Team | 41c | 174.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked illwill | 53c | 172.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked illwill | 69c | 163.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked illwill | 58c | 151.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…6fe9backed WW Team | 44c | 144.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked illwill | 79c | 143.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WW Team | 34c | 141.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed WW Team | 33c | 139.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5a…6eabbacked WW Team | 38c | 137.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed illwill | 58c | 131.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed WW Team | 41c | 129.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed illwill | 46c | 127.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked illwill | 40c | 126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed WW Team | 35c | 118.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed WW Team | 55c | 115.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked WW Team | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed illwill | 53c | 100.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked WW Team | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked WW Team | 49c | 99.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed WW Team | 45c | 98.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill - Map 1 Winnerillwill won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill - Map 2 WinnerWW Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.