CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9558c9a4699c730dac531e33ca62b93e601a9e1c5f87efed12d43fc0c6fec28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof WW Team, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed WW Team | 27c | 1,936$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.63 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed illwill | 61c | 1,314$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.72 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed WW Team | 52c | 979.15$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.37 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WW Team | 31c | 646.43$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 67c | 624.33$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.14 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed illwill | 74c | 591.6$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked WW Team | 22c | 488.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed illwill | 56c | 432.89$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked illwill | 49c | 430.74$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked illwill | 64c | 411.39$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WW Team | 26c | 383.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed WW Team | 29c | 377.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked WW Team | 29c | 366.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed WW Team | 25c | 290.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked illwill | 62c | 273.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed illwill | 54c | 262.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed illwill | 62c | 219.52$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed illwill | 69c | 212.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed illwill | 46c | 211.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed WW Team | 45c | 203.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked WW Team | 23c | 180.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed WW Team | 22c | 169.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked WW Team | 9c | 157.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked illwill | 50c | 139.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed WW Team | 50c | 127.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed WW Team | 29c | 122.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked illwill | 75c | 118.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked WW Team | 60c | 107.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed WW Team | 25c | 106.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed WW Team | 32c | 95.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed illwill | 53c | 87.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed illwill | 47c | 79.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed illwill | 70c | 79.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked WW Team | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked illwill | 74c | 73.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed illwill | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked illwill | 71c | 65.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked illwill | 64c | 54.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed illwill | 65c | 53.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked WW Team | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed WW Team | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked WW Team | 41c | 42.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed illwill | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed illwill | 64c | 38.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed illwill | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed illwill | 71c | 35.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 61cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked illwill | 78c | 32.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed WW Team | 31c | 32.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked WW Team | 33c | 30.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…5483backed illwill | 67c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b50…6ff5backed WW Team | 40c | 29.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…955bbacked WW Team | 61c | 28.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed illwill | 66c | 27.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 73c | 23.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed illwill | 66c | 21.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed illwill | 65c | 19.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267b…5081backed illwill | 73c | 18.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed illwill | 70c | 18.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5857…3fc0backed illwill | 71c | 14.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked illwill | 74c | 14.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked illwill | 74c | 13.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill - Map 2 WinnerWW Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.