CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f0ce09b76482939688a4cb761fbc522d8e447220a2d73901143dba8736d7e19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x796d…9551backed Under | 3c | 722$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Under | 5c | 503$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 62c | 362.27$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 335.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 288.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 6c | 285.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 67c | 187.6$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 33c | 144.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 26c | 139.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ff…bea0backed Under | 27c | 119.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Under | 39c | 106.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 63c | 97.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 36c | 81.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 35c | 77.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 37c | 63.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 32c | 56.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 42c | 42.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 38c | 33.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 54c | 33.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1e6dbacked Under | 52c | 28.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed Over | 54c | 20.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 60c | 18.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill - Map 1 Winnerillwill won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill - Map 2 WinnerWW Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.