NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ddf665e5fad15f862c2891c8be51f32a31e4c022263efc91e6efaa10b2fd61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 52c | 18,315$9,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,434.04 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,268$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 26c | 6,307$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.79 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 48c | 6,149$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.7 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 53c | 4,932$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.89 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 4,574$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 74c | 3,360$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.81 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Over | 49c | 2,701$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.5 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 74c | 2,240$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.54 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 2,168$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 1,843$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.5 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,412$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.87 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Under | 25c | 1,132$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.83 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 1,129$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.29 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 74c | 1,120$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.27 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 74c | 1,096$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 74c | 1,096$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 74c | 1,096$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 74c | 1,094$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Over | 50c | 981.64$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.82 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Under | 51c | 952.12$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 74c | 694.52$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 74c | 694.52$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 614.47$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 480$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Over | 49c | 425.98$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 64c | 425.05$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Under | 27c | 389.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 17c | 284.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 48c | 237.65$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 198.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Under | 52c | 198.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 197.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 51c | 189.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 180.19$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 48c | 168.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Under | 52c | 168.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 48c | 155.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 47c | 141.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Under | 53c | 137.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 74c | 131.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 46c | 118.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 74c | 117.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 62c | 97.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…73f6backed Under | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Under | 51c | 73.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Over | 74c | 71.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 60.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 51c | 50.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 45.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 51c | 40.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 56c | 36.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Under | 51c | 35.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed Over | 49c | 28.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…0885backed Under | 52c | 27.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Over | 51c | 24.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Under | 52c | 24.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 49c | 23.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Over | 74c | 22.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Mavericks vs. SpursSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.