NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a10eb19c4126c2bdfcefed02d78f0098c59a575a9c93e88d367c1a8adceb15c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,699.9 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 51c | 10,420$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,314.16 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c4a8backed Spurs | 51c | 7,523$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 51c | 4,233$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Mavericks | 47c | 4,114$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.48 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Spurs | 49c | 4,043$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.86 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Spurs | 51c | 3,882$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.38 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 49c | 3,506$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.02 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 52c | 2,990$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.36 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,553$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.75 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Spurs | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.77 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,998$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,712$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Spurs | 54c | 1,133$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.11 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 55c | 1,106$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.97 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Mavericks | 45c | 999.95$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Spurs | 55c | 976.24$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.15 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Spurs | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks | 50c | 802.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Spurs | 51c | 771.34$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.96 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Spurs | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 51c | 740.79$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.35 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs | 51c | 722.05$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.07 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Spurs | 51c | 679.13$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.24 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 51c | 661.97$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.17 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 51c | 661.97$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.17 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Spurs | 51c | 661.97$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.17 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Spurs | 51c | 661.97$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.17 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 51c | 661.97$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.17 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Spurs | 51c | 661.97$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.17 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3748…a41abacked Mavericks | 47c | 597.4$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Spurs | 51c | 590.12$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.97 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Spurs | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.36 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 565.43$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Spurs | 52c | 562.12$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.79 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Mavericks | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Spurs | 53c | 521.21$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.97 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Spurs | 51c | 513.85$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.79 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Spurs | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mavericks | 49c | 499.9$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 492.29$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Spurs | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Spurs | 52c | 473.06$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Spurs | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks | 46c | 419.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Spurs | 51c | 399.81$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.71 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 329.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Spurs | 32c | 300.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.86 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Spurs | 50c | 296.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Spurs | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 49c | 290.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 51c | 249.54$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Spurs | 54c | 222.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…8bf5backed Mavericks | 47c | 216.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mavericks | 48c | 215.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Spurs | 51c | 209.49$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Spurs | 51c | 209.49$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Spurs | 51c | 209.49$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Mavericks | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 203 | 46.3%94 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Spurs | 54c | 205.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Spurs | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 51c | 198.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 50c | 195.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Spurs | 52c | 190.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Spurs | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Spurs | 49c | 183.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 49c | 180.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Spurs | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Mavericks | 48c | 169.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Spurs | 53c | 161.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 43c | 157.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs | 49c | 141.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Spurs | 55c | 132.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 52c | 130.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1759…49e5backed Spurs | 51c | 128.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 34c | 126.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mavericks | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Spurs | 51c | 113.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Spurs | 53c | 112.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Spurs | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 47c | 96.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Spurs | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Spurs | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Spurs | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Spurs | 51c | 86.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Spurs | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Spurs | 53c | 82.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Spurs | 52c | 73.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…89a9backed Mavericks | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Spurs | 53c | 60.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d25…0adabacked Mavericks | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Spurs | 51c | 55.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs | 51c | 54.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 47c | 52.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Mavericks | 52c | 52.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Spurs | 43c | 50.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Spurs | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Mavericks vs. SpursSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.