TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-18.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,651 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc733…851abacked Mavericks0c44,778$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs49c22,311$10,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,336.411,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Mavericks51c11,767$6,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,001.35550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks51c9,997$5,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.251,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spurs58c7,502$4,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.562,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks35c4,406$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29ac…ea58backed Mavericks46c4,231$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.881040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks50c2,900$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs55c2,867$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.4119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs57c2,524$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.583,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks50c2,387$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.3382442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Spurs49c1,995$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.4631643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks42c1,910$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.773,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Mavericks51c1,766$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.651,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks43c1,581$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.451,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs50c1,372$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spurs58c1,152$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.9570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs48c1,113$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.186,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Spurs49c1,112$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.3124247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Spurs36c1,100$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70419937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b78…5ce6backed Mavericks50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Spurs49c969.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.3936954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs50c958.03$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.871,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Spurs53c918.53$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.0752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Mavericks49c770.04$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.323636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks50c724.08$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.042,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Mavericks46c712.54$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.172,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Mavericks44c697.02$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6331151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Mavericks49c644.99$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0414842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks46c634.4$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb03c…b352backed Mavericks52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.365341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Spurs66c547.7$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5744345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs49c530$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Mavericks51c528.48$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.841844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mavericks49c494.59$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3559140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks50c464.38$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.481,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Spurs24c397.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.235639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Spurs50c389$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1144551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Mavericks51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.127337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa325…27cabacked Mavericks56c374.25$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs53c362.09$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.471,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs50c340.44$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Spurs50c336.5$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec60…8ad8backed Mavericks74c319.94$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.966947.8%33 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Mavericks66c313.12$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.687646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Mavericks59c310.12$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.153844.7%17 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs59c304.42$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs50c297.56$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.251,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs49c281.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.811,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks45c241.71$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.771,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs48c231.92$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.62,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs50c208.28$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd977…0e61backed Mavericks67c200$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Mavericks52c191.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4949852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Mavericks42c188.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7136949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs48c183.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.283,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Mavericks52c168.24$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4932351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Mavericks52c144.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Mavericks34c140.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8311233.9%38 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Mavericks52c131.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9833251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Mavericks52c130.74$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9872250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Mavericks42c120.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0540750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs50c119.03$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.051,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Spurs50c119.03$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Spurs50c119.03$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0519254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed Mavericks43c118.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.063348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed Mavericks43c118.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.063647.2%17 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Spurs50c115.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Spurs50c115.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs50c113.41$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mavericks51c111.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Spurs49c101.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6215650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Mavericks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44e7…19a8backed Mavericks51c97.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Spurs50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.525348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs51c95.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8152461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks52c95.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.531,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Mavericks51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5338453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Spurs50c91.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.925655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Mavericks49c88.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.241,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd994…03babacked Mavericks55c88.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Spurs50c87.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6523549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…cfa6backed Spurs55c86.89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-69.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Mavericks52c85.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6813138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Mavericks52c78.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.797149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Spurs50c70.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1410436.5%38 W · 66 L-9.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Mavericks51c68.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.061,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Spurs38c68.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.041,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Spurs47c66.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.627648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Spurs65c66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.15334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs64c63.89$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.171,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Spurs49c63.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Spurs49c61.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2137845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Spurs55c59.94$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.716876.5%52 W · 16 L+12.8wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Spurs43c58.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Spurs50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.157051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Spurs54c58.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9314845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Mavericks51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.126844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs60c56.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6452053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.