TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c5,821$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Under50c3,500$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.7620945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c3,249$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under32c2,719$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.851,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under44c2,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9879650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over62c1,581$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.136764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Under46c1,419$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.159454.3%51 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c1,084$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,074$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.066,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under12c996.53$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.781,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over50c960.3$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.1517349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over55c908.69$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.8931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c696.22$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.791,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under45c665.9$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under7c645.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.221,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over55c530.73$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8327746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under45c491.61$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2311437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4c…0c74backed Under46c489.5$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…7754backed Under47c443.12$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.16825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c411.2$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.151,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19235744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Under44c395.35$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.958763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d3…53bfbacked Under46c365.6$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.681040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13515543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c294.94$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under22c286.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.882,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Under20c271.26$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.246756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d8…ac72backed Under46c271.03$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.821560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Under46c268.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.26960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under28c250.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under35c234.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x942e…a966backed Under46c232.59$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c228.66$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.412,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Under46c208.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.799153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Under47c207.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.86550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7d…3f24backed Over49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.91681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e14…fcd1backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Under7c189$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.237057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under19c168.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7910637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb68e…30cfbacked Over54c164.26$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.393860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c127.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over55c126$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.171,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under22c120.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4637848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under20c120.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under40c119.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.244347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over54c119.27$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…06c3backed Under45c113.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Over53c113.46$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8310657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under10c112.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9727937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over54c112.35$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.441,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under45c111.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.321,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under40c110.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2644551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over55c108.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9623549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over54c106.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1740750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed Over54c106.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.163348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed Over54c106.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.163647.2%17 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed0…b5b8backed Over54c106.86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.152240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Over50c106.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.53053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6c…df05backed Under49c106.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.257256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5d…a670backed Under47c103.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under49c99.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4647738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under38c91.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc037…5c68backed Under46c88.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over53c86.49$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6534247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under23c86.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7553348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7525348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over54c84.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.15549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under38c83.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1819254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4940…430dbacked Over54c82.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over57c78.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3441753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under37c75.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under39c74.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.957051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c73.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x831e…294abacked Under44c72.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.71333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under37c70.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9412752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Over49c69.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.317354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c67.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.931,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under34c66.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.621,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under36c65.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over57c64.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7359250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Under46c63.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.856546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.16261.3%38 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under46c54.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2723445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over55c53.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0923840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3b…a99fbacked Under46c53.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.546648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x627a…5586backed Under47c51.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06b…b468backed Under46c49.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over48c49.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5955444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over57c48.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9522047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over54c46.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4196956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under27c43.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under44c42.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c41.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.542,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e6…1001backed Under47c41.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf81c…d0ffbacked Under46c40.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.763842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecda…6d55backed Under44c34.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.311662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa837…512fbacked Under46c33.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.281855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.