TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under52c98,950$51,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,438.8632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Over48c53,565$25,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,853.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over48c31,000$14,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,12059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc14d…69acbacked Over45c13,839$6,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,611.48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c12,820$5,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,910.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Over46c12,724$5,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,895.295947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c10,899$5,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,667.481,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c10,637$5,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,157.364,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over46c9,084$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,923.582,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c8,376$3,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Under52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.994548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over51c7,557$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.148352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Over48c7,200$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7448350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over45c6,286$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.291,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over49c5,400$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.2256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under50c5,375$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.2743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Over46c3,649$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.3612850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c2,848$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.082,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over71c2,241$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.171,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Under43c2,231$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.012152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c2,068$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.211,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over45c2,020$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.9870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over43c1,797$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c1,758$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.853,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over44c1,744$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.8965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over44c1,720$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.5486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over52c1,593$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.341,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over43c1,582$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.8543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x273d…1123backed Over48c1,434$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Under50c1,327$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.616150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over43c1,299$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.4810252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,280$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c1,254$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.585,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c1,201$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.572,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under2c1,198$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58335049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over48c1,097$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.458948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over43c1,078$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.8229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over46c1,074$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.1345251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over44c1,068$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.7323742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over43c1,061$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over43c1,047$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.0337647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over44c1,031$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.3841753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over44c992.57$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.421,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over43c985.17$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.4971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under5c943$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over43c907.5$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.5458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over45c888$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.0590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over43c853.42$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.4563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c809.63$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.016,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over43c809.02$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.051,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over43c770.78$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.5856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over43c744.65$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.0122047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c727.93$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.081,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over50c662.97$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.121,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under46c654.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over48c593.87$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.8119745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over48c593.87$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.8132150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over46c590.93$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.9935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over54c565.07$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9314940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over44c512.74$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0423445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c482.18$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.731,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over43c479.48$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over43c466.44$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.411648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Over43c466.44$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.45547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over63c466.07$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7416159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over43c449.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0529848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over43c423.68$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4619254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c417.84$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.292,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over43c399.98$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.721653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over46c382.47$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.831,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c373.91$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.671,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over43c343.56$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.513153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under39c343.18$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.582,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over48c341.02$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3310943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over44c330.31$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over43c326.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0114640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over45c325.88$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2316946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c324.18$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.762,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c312.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.091,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3748…a41abacked Under48c302.82$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.321361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15344252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over48c284.83$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1123850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9df…cff3backed Under55c262.71$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145e…d48cbacked Over46c261.25$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c257.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over45c255$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over45c253.8$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.621,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over46c246.74$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2416249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over54c234.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6814156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over54c234.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6817353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Over48c228.64$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.893342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over53c225.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0225348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c23…261ebacked Over44c217.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.211560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under51c212.56$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4177549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f90…4e02backed Over46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under51c209.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7711157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.