NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x928fdac45a52ab0bc77190c8d666fcc6c99cf369b75a4fc7f1586b06c96a1f05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 33c | 3,726$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.54 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 10c | 2,745$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 47c | 1,446$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.17 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 1,331$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.49 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,266$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 955.74$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 54c | 914.53$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.68 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 872.46$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.51 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 867.72$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.18 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 16c | 854.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 7c | 833.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 642.46$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 53c | 575.16$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.33 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Over | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 42c | 404.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 11c | 342.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 8c | 328.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 220.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 205.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 53c | 197.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Under | 9c | 152.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 53c | 135$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 130.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 10c | 130.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 56c | 109.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 11c | 108.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…ada9backed Under | 19c | 102.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 54c | 72.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 54c | 72.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 66.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 21c | 66.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 54c | 62.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 54c | 62.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 55c | 59.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 35c | 50.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 54c | 46.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Under | 43c | 35.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 34.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 30.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 58c | 29.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 58c | 28.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 54c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 53c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 54c | 22.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed Under | 47c | 22.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Over | 54c | 19.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 54c | 19.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 18.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Mavericks vs. SpursSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.