TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Mavericks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,024,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,213,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,024,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks6c74,527$4,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,471.6154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Mavericks3c64,999$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.9826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks6c33,452$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.021,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks8c26,737$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.832,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks6c19,399$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Mavericks5c18,460$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.1236023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks9c17,563$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.052,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mavericks5c17,419$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.251,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Mavericks7c16,746$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.229838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Mavericks6c16,292$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.5213357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks5c15,108$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.62,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Mavericks6c15,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.011,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Mavericks4c12,704$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.6416942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed Mavericks9c10,088$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.624843.8%21 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Mavericks10c9,934$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.7120843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks15c8,472$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.1466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Mavericks2c7,787$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.291417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Mavericks11c7,777$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.048846.6%41 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Mavericks6c6,803$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4213245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Mavericks5c6,252$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.135813.8%8 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Mavericks7c6,107$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.9920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Mavericks6c6,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Mavericks1c6,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6515219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Mavericks11c5,861$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.088942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks6c5,202$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Mavericks11c4,608$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.653633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks1c4,578$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.088820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cac…91c9backed Mavericks0c4,576$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks1c4,392$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.187211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…0fa4backed Mavericks2c4,387$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.743342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Mavericks8c4,187$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks3c4,107$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.591,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d5…e577backed Mavericks7c4,075$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.23812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks7c4,006$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Mavericks6c3,300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1988026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Mavericks8c2,921$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.693647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Mavericks6c2,886$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8418632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Mavericks8c2,729$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.274528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks7c2,540$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4143438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Mavericks5c2,530$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7133139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd5…3b78backed Mavericks9c2,372$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.948326.5%22 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks7c2,366$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8117…5f64backed Mavericks11c2,045$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.531811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-60.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed Mavericks8c2,012$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5e…a114backed Mavericks10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Mavericks7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14048944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Mavericks7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Mavericks6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.99911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-85.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks5c1,995$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x756e…fe0fbacked Mavericks10c1,985$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.082642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Mavericks7c1,771$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9523742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Mavericks9c1,715$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2436843.8%161 W · 207 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks4c1,656$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.243,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Mavericks7c1,483$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10624937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec18…89ebbacked Mavericks4c1,479$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.323616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Mavericks7c1,443$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2255316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Mavericks11c1,322$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6422140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f00…be86backed Mavericks8c1,181$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.485424.1%13 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+75.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…d959backed Mavericks9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick18cpaid+282.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b43…ce76backed Mavericks7c1,100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa325…27cabacked Mavericks9c1,039$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.55812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Mavericks9c1,017$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5634136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Mavericks11c1,009$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.318544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Mavericks3c1,004$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.123833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Mavericks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Mavericks8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9087…9532backed Mavericks9c997.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.578229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa574…28dcbacked Mavericks8c944.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.584040%16 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce6…e378backed Mavericks8c944.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.582722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Mavericks9c909.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5622836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Mavericks5c884.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8915219.7%30 W · 122 L-26.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Mavericks6c867.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.943537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks4c861.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.771,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Mavericks11c852.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6717962%111 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Mavericks10c719.72$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9714740.8%60 W · 87 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Mavericks8c685.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8723145.9%106 W · 125 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc02…e0d4backed Mavericks7c677.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4615238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Mavericks12c673.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0820237.1%75 W · 127 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Mavericks8c649.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.967821.8%17 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mavericks8c634.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6262144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…9f8fbacked Mavericks3c608.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.843528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Mavericks7c602.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1368944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Mavericks8c600$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.512540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked Mavericks7c599.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.886543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Mavericks10c595.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5523058.7%135 W · 95 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Mavericks7c566.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6626530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Mavericks13c503.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3660549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Mavericks9c483.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3361638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf39…3703backed Mavericks7c479.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Mavericks8c478.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.473243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x593f…10e8backed Mavericks4c477.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.851163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Mavericks4c463.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5314144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Mavericks5c457.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Mavericks6c453.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Mavericks11c444.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8630146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…2adfbacked Mavericks10c431$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks6c421.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.11,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.