TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Akira Santillan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mark Lajalof Mark Lajal, Akira Santillan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b9…ff15backed Mark Lajal76c79,794$60,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,156.315957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Akira Santillan23c33,524$7,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,860.2211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Akira Santillan24c28,680$6,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,883.1385348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb2…d820backed Akira Santillan0c22,373$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Akira Santillan8c12,331$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.858,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Akira Santillan20c3,939$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.3429241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Akira Santillan24c3,436$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.463,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Akira Santillan7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21053843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Akira Santillan23c2,498$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.476,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Akira Santillan22c1,897$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.344,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Akira Santillan22c1,550$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.66,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b0…02c6backed Akira Santillan1c1,362$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.01807.5%6 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Akira Santillan24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.191,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Akira Santillan2c813.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.162262.2%5 W · 221 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Akira Santillan24c795.33$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8813557.8%78 W · 57 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0149…2f04backed Mark Lajal74c792.91$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.162286.4%19 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Akira Santillan24c751.9$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4660355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Akira Santillan17c751.47$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2438013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Akira Santillan26c724.91$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.488,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f96…e7f0backed Akira Santillan18c571.26$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.52050%10 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Akira Santillan23c449.31$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.482,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Akira Santillan16c445.24$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.247842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mark Lajal70c392.4$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.721,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Akira Santillan14c391.02$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1634847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Akira Santillan19c388.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.154,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Akira Santillan14c386.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1414531.7%46 W · 99 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Akira Santillan24c386.68$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.81,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Akira Santillan24c386.68$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.81,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Mark Lajal72c344.88$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5752155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Akira Santillan30c328.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5834549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…7965backed Akira Santillan5c309.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.865632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Akira Santillan24c290.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8268857.3%394 W · 294 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Akira Santillan24c286.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.729,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbd…9c14backed Akira Santillan12c275.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Akira Santillan15c261.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8350644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Akira Santillan26c260.55$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7232240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Akira Santillan27c253.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.513,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Akira Santillan28c234.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1e…366ebacked Akira Santillan27c234.07$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Akira Santillan15c217.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6713033.8%44 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d7…2db2backed Akira Santillan15c182.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Akira Santillan21c181.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.141323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Akira Santillan6c177.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Akira Santillan24c176.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.482,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Mark Lajal79c170.31$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.044,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Akira Santillan24c155.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.363052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x797f…8084backed Akira Santillan15c153.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.736530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Akira Santillan25c153.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.073020%6 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6368…1cb3backed Mark Lajal74c146.44$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Akira Santillan14c144.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.053,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Akira Santillan26c127.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2214443.1%62 W · 82 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Akira Santillan14c107.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.481,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeac…2970backed Akira Santillan24c105.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.783250%16 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Akira Santillan28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.725446.5%118 W · 136 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Akira Santillan21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216426.6%17 W · 47 L-10.3wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Akira Santillan14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1429519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x381b…e2d3backed Akira Santillan14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a98…8754backed Akira Santillan23c94.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.554452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d40…883bbacked Akira Santillan24c92.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.242236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Mark Lajal72c89.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2570456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a3…2e00backed Akira Santillan20c88.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.646631.8%21 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Akira Santillan30c82.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7296844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Akira Santillan24c81.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3915337.9%58 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Mark Lajal70c76.9$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.251,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Akira Santillan24c75.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.062,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Akira Santillan19c70.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.279240.2%37 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e9…86c0backed Akira Santillan24c67.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24875%6 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+54.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Akira Santillan24c59.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3276853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0664…f7f0backed Akira Santillan24c59.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.328241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddc…0885backed Akira Santillan24c55.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.391877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb22…a11cbacked Akira Santillan24c52.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.882268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Mark Lajal71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3b…913dbacked Akira Santillan28c49.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…31b5backed Akira Santillan28c48.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.621020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Mark Lajal73c43.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8731463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…b707backed Mark Lajal71c41.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.045856.9%33 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Mark Lajal72c40.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4788560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c6…b50bbacked Akira Santillan28c40.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.478946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Mark Lajal77c40.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5538931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Mark Lajal71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.633364.9%216 W · 117 L-19.4wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Akira Santillan27c38.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.529650%48 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Mark Lajal75c32.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.998737.9%33 W · 54 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mark Lajal73c31.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Mark Lajal70c29.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7725745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x095d…110bbacked Mark Lajal73c27.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.334247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Mark Lajal73c26.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2855059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.