TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bucharest Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Jay Clarke

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Molcanof Alex Molcan, Jay Clarke
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$348,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$396,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,039 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…b8f7backed Alex Molcan15c67,519$10,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,130.7713754.7%75 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jay Clarke56c56,127$31,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,378.412,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fde…0ed8backed Jay Clarke0c17,833$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Alex Molcan79c17,030$13,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.5114264.8%92 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Alex Molcan45c10,672$4,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,836.517348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jay Clarke37c6,513$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.5911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jay Clarke52c5,462$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.363,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Alex Molcan47c5,160$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.1311935.3%42 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8035…f36dbacked Jay Clarke1c4,179$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.946836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jay Clarke72c2,824$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.1175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jay Clarke34c2,691$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.161,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Alex Molcan59c2,655$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.9248453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Alex Molcan64c2,466$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.821,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Alex Molcan53c2,455$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.0544754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Alex Molcan77c2,184$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.3833556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Alex Molcan59c2,028$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.811,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Alex Molcan59c2,024$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.4133149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Alex Molcan45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9118868.6%129 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Alex Molcan62c1,787$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.530847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jay Clarke60c1,542$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.984,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca52…6a6fbacked Jay Clarke50c1,529$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.351442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Jay Clarke7c1,498$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.869737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Alex Molcan68c1,438$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.393655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Alex Molcan66c1,337$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.661752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Alex Molcan46c1,151$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.843441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Jay Clarke30c1,118$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5626535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Alex Molcan53c1,048$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.0237351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454f…7642backed Alex Molcan78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Jay Clarke43c965.8$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.299931.3%31 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Alex Molcan58c904.72$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4937153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Jay Clarke58c889.21$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Alex Molcan57c876.73$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.8379855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Jay Clarke45c796.94$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.912,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Jay Clarke39c785.07$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3314344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Jay Clarke20c733.51$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1961924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Jay Clarke17c728.17$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.150644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Alex Molcan36c678.46$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.227142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Jay Clarke37c623.1$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22826941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Jay Clarke50c623$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.3618250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alex Molcan67c600.54$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.674,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Jay Clarke78c585.28$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.894245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb831…f31cbacked Alex Molcan44c576.74$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.563661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Jay Clarke8c555.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…9257backed Alex Molcan79c511.67$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084271.4%30 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Alex Molcan57c500.51$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0739955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Alex Molcan51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Alex Molcan59c499.56$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7641658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Jay Clarke51c486.86$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.323429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Alex Molcan60c486.57$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.959263%58 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Alex Molcan62c486.25$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.614465.9%29 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Alex Molcan32c479.6$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.1341544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcad…2bc9backed Alex Molcan30c444.57$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.551546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Alex Molcan60c438.94$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.323863.2%24 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Jay Clarke16c435.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7430715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Alex Molcan69c429.66$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.320459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Alex Molcan49c428.65$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2818651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Jay Clarke37c421.48$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.951,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Alex Molcan57c417.99$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1530744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Jay Clarke31c410.82$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8434950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jay Clarke49c406.8$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.336,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe22…b709backed Alex Molcan53c404.36$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8712656.3%71 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Jay Clarke66c403.26$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.472,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5792…6481backed Jay Clarke15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013222%29 W · 103 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Alex Molcan60c398.91$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1332050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Jay Clarke62c389.02$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4210829.6%32 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Jay Clarke44c386.63$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4319250.5%97 W · 95 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…4d66backed Jay Clarke56c385.16$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.695658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Alex Molcan51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.511,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Alex Molcan59c340.79$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8457052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Jay Clarke38c322.65$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.629246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Jay Clarke49c320.95$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2766139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b9…9ab5backed Jay Clarke67c315.56$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8721256.1%119 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Alex Molcan41c313.26$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4417442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Jay Clarke72c308.77$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.8611851.7%61 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Jay Clarke72c308.77$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.865749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Jay Clarke73c302.69$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.735048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Alex Molcan44c299.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16815444.2%68 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Alex Molcan65c299.7$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8684857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Alex Molcan66c297.43$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.451,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Jay Clarke56c292.08$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.565343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Alex Molcan69c284.46$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.184551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Jay Clarke24c274.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8567836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Jay Clarke70c273.45$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.18148.1%39 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Jay Clarke44c271.41$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.144,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Alex Molcan55c270.43$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.671,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Jay Clarke24c267.21$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5298240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Jay Clarke26c257.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.891,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Alex Molcan57c255.9$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1462534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8df8…0db0backed Alex Molcan69c254.28$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.573751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Alex Molcan69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.57549.3%37 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Jay Clarke70c245.88$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6415147.7%72 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6477…4243backed Jay Clarke34c241.56$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.764045%18 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Alex Molcan56c238.39$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5748652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed Alex Molcan57c237.41$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7814772.8%107 W · 40 L+19.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Alex Molcan45c236.38$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.011850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Alex Molcan59c231.34$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8524460.2%147 W · 97 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Alex Molcan57c224.42$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.375149%25 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x319b…d4d5backed Jay Clarke53c197.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.96144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6937…7340backed Jay Clarke50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Jay Clarke32c191.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3944038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.