Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78cf7a8826ca4500759c162dc40164c4a83654fcdb39553b3258610a9f6aad6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 6,697$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.17 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 3,497$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.97 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 45c | 2,190$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.36 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 885.91$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.23 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 46c | 543$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 58c | 538.07$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.28 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 56c | 356.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 60c | 332.68$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 267.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 40c | 253.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 196.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Under | 60c | 193$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 56c | 189.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 57c | 182.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…1d1ebacked Under | 67c | 182.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 60c | 172.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 49c | 154$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 152.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 56c | 138.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 137.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 56c | 137.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 124.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 33c | 118.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 57c | 113.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 29c | 110.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed Under | 50c | 108.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 104.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 35c | 98.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 61c | 82.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 38c | 74.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Under | 56c | 62.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa13f…0730backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed Under | 58c | 58.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 60c | 58.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ac…4326backed Over | 53c | 56.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Under | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…7a37backed Over | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 47c | 45.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 61c | 41.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 40.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Under | 65c | 34.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Under | 58c | 34.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 58c | 33.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 70c | 31.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7d87backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 60c | 25.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed Under | 72c | 24.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 55c | 24.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under | 60c | 23.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 60c | 23.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked Over | 63c | 22.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 76c | 21.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 68c | 21.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 56c | 20.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Under | 68c | 19.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 64c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Over | 66c | 17.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed Over | 64c | 17.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…0885backed Under | 65c | 16.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.