Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30d96f12b4488ce4050a8be74f217b4a30f1857f00b77a1ad93ebf6772a0da43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 13c | 175.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 175.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 29c | 175.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 70c | 139.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 110.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed No | 51c | 107.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 80.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 68.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 43.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 48c | 26.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 48c | 26.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Yes | 48c | 26.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 47c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…ae0cbacked Yes | 47c | 24.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fc…1a89backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ac…ae7ebacked Yes | 46c | 23.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…7d54backed No | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72a…587fbacked Yes | 46c | 21.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…b283backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…6c71backed No | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8b…24bfbacked No | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…0904backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…3821backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…e6e6backed No | 54c | 18.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.