Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e32a0e160ca8b67e629fa4ba310f8cc15a06d517c21d85415763c990dd6c660
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 9c | 2,954$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.85 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 2,928$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 1,601$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.04 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 37c | 1,311$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 24c | 1,250$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.63 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 48c | 385.42$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 25c | 378.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 75c | 331.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 73c | 297.86$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 18c | 293.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 242.51$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 195.4$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 8c | 183.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 52c | 172.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 164.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 71c | 141.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 71c | 141.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 113.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 71c | 70.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 71c | 70.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 75c | 67.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 75c | 66.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 52c | 66.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e2…6014backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…4542backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 33.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…9f69backed Under | 74c | 21.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0d…bea7backed Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 79c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.