TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$868,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$925,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $868,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c229,019$114,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,832.871,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over50c150,000$74,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,749.9860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over50c130,438$65,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,219.1311137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over52c89,253$46,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,351.2687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c73,599$34,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,007.971,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfc…bf06backed Over53c51,502$27,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,276.581020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under48c48,811$23,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,381.6224650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over52c40,129$21,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,061.610949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under50c34,086$17,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,902.5756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Under48c32,454$15,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,876.264860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Over51c20,695$10,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,554.312937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Under49c19,764$9,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,069.38452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under47c15,200$7,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,05635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over51c14,493$7,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,440.1717055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c14,127$7,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,065.21,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over53c13,669$7,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,217.163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under47c13,310$6,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,054.328643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c12,417$6,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,579.261,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under50c12,025$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,054.9319937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under48c11,605$5,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,034.4449244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c11,432$6,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,036.9493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under46c11,102$5,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,960.6416547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over52c11,031$5,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,736.14134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c10,596$5,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,286.834,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Over51c10,014$5,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,107.2937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c9,858$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,073.021,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under48c6,538$3,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3701,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over51c6,361$3,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,225.727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over53c5,784$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.5712451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under48c5,761$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.628839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under51c4,801$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.1810553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Over51c3,806$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.22433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under49c3,435$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.9629650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c3,312$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Under48c3,300$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7161643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over6c3,279$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7427937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c3,045$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.221,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c2,909$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.4265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over50c2,830$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.0313563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under47c2,714$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.621,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Under49c2,665$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.084032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c2,426$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Under50c2,334$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.029651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ac…9309backed Under49c2,154$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick56cpaid-66%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over42c2,097$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.941,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.831,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under46c1,986$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.7621142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under48c1,834$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.9316642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Under50c1,698$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8497156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under49c1,643$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.4834850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over51c1,540$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.420051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over51c1,452$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.0530453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over49c1,427$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.6731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c1,413$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.671,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Over52c1,370$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.4414355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c1,367$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.922,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under48c1,351$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.5216743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under41c1,327$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over53c1,252$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.747150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c1,182$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.6590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under50c1,153$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.7629848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under53c1,127$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.4152951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Under45c1,107$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.662254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under50c1,054$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.1432351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5304,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50044740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Under48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over11c971.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Under50c970.68$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.695354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over51c942.34$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.1257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over52c935.17$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.297445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c932.83$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.2532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under48c932.6$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.621443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over19c925.97$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1417946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over51c902.98$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45831354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Under49c882.9$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.5538453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Under48c830$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.63948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Over51c799.87$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.932360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under30c799.76$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.8318844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c784.7$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.71,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Under50c768.63$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.515633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under46c757.73$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.184257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over51c757.13$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.341753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37511242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under49c725$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.757946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over50c720.65$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.4122552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Over8c718.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.518027.5%22 W · 58 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under46c714.84$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.7418842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Under50c679.63$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.1411651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Under30c638.83$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.236023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under49c626.39$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.821,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.