TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes49c170,215$83,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,213.092934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c45,149$24,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,486.625,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No50c43,660$21,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,899.363256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c22,539$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,338.612,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c12,502$6,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,881.951,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No50c8,600$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3009246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No47c7,173$3,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,801.53887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.47per pick40cpaid+112.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No53c5,679$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.514058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No52c5,652$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,685.5719055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes46c5,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.911625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No50c4,900$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4505349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c3,861$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.361,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No52c3,699$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.315567.3%37 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed No51c3,067$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No53c2,489$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.9214557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No56c2,178$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.481464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No54c1,849$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.9416356.4%92 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes39c1,400$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5462642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No51c1,394$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.1415358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No53c1,348$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.872878.6%22 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+54.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No52c1,347$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.6811654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes52c1,233$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.441,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes51c924.64$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.3915826.6%42 W · 116 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No58c867.48$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.459265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes16c816.41$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.88476.4%3 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-71.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No50c792$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39611742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes45c670$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.52842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No49c662.25$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9862349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No52c577.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.759056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes54c556.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No53c522.5$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6415971.1%113 W · 46 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes52c432.81$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.561,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes46c430.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.535837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked No53c406.47$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No52c404.15$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.996549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288814.8%13 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No53c399$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.535271.2%37 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No50c398.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.539552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No52c392.5$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked No51c387.66$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Yes52c385.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No53c378.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5747860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No53c378.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.579859.2%58 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed No53c378.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.57875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No53c373.97$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bb…a2cdbacked Yes48c354.75$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No57c319.35$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.572763%17 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No52c310$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.81154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No50c306.76$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.385667.9%38 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.124663%29 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No50c255.82$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.918558.8%50 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes52c253.84$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13247155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No50c242.49$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2549044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…ccd1backed Yes41c234.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.861421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed No51c228.6$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No46c226.18$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5389955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed No55c225.47$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.371070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes54c214.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0930049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No53c211.07$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.02977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+104.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No62c209.58$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6262652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Yes5c199.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+93.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No53c189.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.299554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked No53c189.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.292548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Yes53c173.15$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.512763%17 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed No59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…259fbacked No50c164.83$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No52c160.39$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.324362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a8…800dbacked Yes50c152.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No48c145.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No50c143.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.813661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No52c139.22$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.333360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed No48c129.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No52c126.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.492,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked No54c123.95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No48c118.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ac…ebeebacked No51c118.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes44c114$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.646043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked No48c109.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.04580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+92.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed Yes53c108.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.59875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No53c103.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5710653.8%57 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked No48c102.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5323755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaaa…0fd3backed Yes52c96.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes48c93.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0422555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.12060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c0…9740backed No58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes51c81.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.81,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Yes51c75.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.981631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Yes47c74.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No48c72.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.