Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321893caf91d19ced55c3cda51ea1e2956e74195fba63bf7d636320514fdab4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 23c | 2,293$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.63 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,916$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,751$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.94 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 29c | 1,593$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.84 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 70c | 1,420$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.25 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 30c | 813.3$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 731.06$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.84 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 19c | 700$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 596.96$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 74c | 554.04$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 481.83$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 28c | 359.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 246.56$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 23c | 225$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 76c | 196.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 78cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 191.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 191.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 122.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 11c | 118.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 114.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 110.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 24c | 76.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 31c | 72.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…645fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Yes | 31c | 46.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 35.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 71c | 33.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 31.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 71c | 31.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 71c | 31.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 71c | 31.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 71c | 29.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 75c | 24.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 71c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…5bb7backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 73c | 19.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 72c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 78c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.