NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3011045a9f6376b4348f8679928169cbcb227d977dd3db4c59678f68272c0d40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pistons, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers | 46c | 17,109$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,238.69 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 53c | 8,320$4,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.34 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons | 54c | 6,192$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.39 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 47c | 5,325$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers | 47c | 3,119$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.07 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 54c | 2,064$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.46 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pistons | 54c | 2,064$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.46 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Pistons | 54c | 2,043$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.01 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Pistons | 54c | 2,043$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.01 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Pacers | 52c | 1,970$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.16 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 47c | 1,624$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pacers | 32c | 1,581$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.41 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,552$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons | 68c | 1,533$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.1 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pacers | 48c | 1,033$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.15 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pistons | 54c | 921.66$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.61 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Pistons | 54c | 905.06$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.11 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Pistons | 57c | 900.61$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.44 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pacers | 43c | 899.97$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.98 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 45c | 874.3$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.86 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pacers | 44c | 749.96$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Pistons | 55c | 747.62$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.19 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pacers | 26c | 646.76$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.93 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Pistons | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Pacers | 49c | 487.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.81 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pacers | 46c | 430.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.72 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 48c | 419.72$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pacers | 47c | 405.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.72 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Pistons | 50c | 401.11$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Pistons | 52c | 396.04$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons | 65c | 383.52$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.73 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…cc06backed Pistons | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons | 59c | 335.72$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.08 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2c…4109backed Pistons | 52c | 309.81$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Pistons | 54c | 307.93$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c1…46e5backed Pacers | 49c | 301.48$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pistons | 60c | 297.6$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4396…29aabacked Pacers | 49c | 287.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers | 40c | 281.89$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pistons | 51c | 278.66$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Pistons | 54c | 270.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pacers | 43c | 267$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.19 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Pacers | 41c | 247.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Pistons | 54c | 225.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Pacers | 48c | 189.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…1a91backed Pistons | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Pistons | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Pistons | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Pistons | 53c | 171.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…d798backed Pacers | 17c | 170$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Pistons | 52c | 168.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Pistons | 13c | 157.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pistons | 48c | 157.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Pacers | 47c | 142.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Pistons | 54c | 135.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pacers | 48c | 122.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Pacers | 47c | 108.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Pacers | 47c | 108.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Pacers | 40c | 107.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…3f4bbacked Pacers | 49c | 106.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Pacers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 56c | 98.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Pistons | 55c | 94.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Pistons | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Pistons | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Pacers | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Pacers | 48c | 85.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Pistons | 75c | 79.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…dbd4backed Pistons | 52c | 75.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be5…9d53backed Pistons | 52c | 74.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Pacers | 17c | 73.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Pistons | 51c | 70.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Pistons | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Pacers | 47c | 63.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Pistons | 53c | 60.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Pistons | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Pistons | 54c | 56.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Pacers | 48c | 52.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Pacers | 50c | 51.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Pistons | 56c | 49.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Pistons | 56c | 49.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Pistons | 56c | 49.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Pistons | 56c | 49.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Pistons | 56c | 49.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Pistons | 56c | 49.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Pistons | 56c | 49.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Pistons | 54c | 48.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Pistons | 54c | 45.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Pistons | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Pistons | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 236 | 50.8%120 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Pistons | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…2161backed Pacers | 49c | 43.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Pacers | 47c | 43.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Pistons | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pacers | 47c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Pistons | 52c | 41.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 57c | 40.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Pacers | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 45c | 39.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. PacersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 252.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 257.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-23.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.