TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ac9…f5dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT8949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.74
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.84
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$76.94
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.56
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$61.55
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$26.87
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$37.67
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.29
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.85
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.45
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.05
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.7
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.14
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.7
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+58.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$81.21
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$61.73
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.6
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.4
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.8
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.52
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$31.16
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$70.52
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.21
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.7
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+103%+$28.02
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$17.74
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.36
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.36
Spread: Magic (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.74
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.84
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+147.1%+$63.83
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+546.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+546.6%+$80.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+136.1%+$20.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.