TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Washington Nationals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf57e…bbd6backed Washington Nationals55c4,423$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Atlanta Braves47c3,318$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.991,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Washington Nationals54c1,348$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.265050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Atlanta Braves47c1,337$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.241,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Washington Nationals52c1,313$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.5857744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals52c1,307$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.581,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Atlanta Braves45c1,216$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.111,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Atlanta Braves63c987.59$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.133864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals51c945.68$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.855,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves47c911.08$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.2836440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals53c881.42$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.336,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Atlanta Braves29c833.83$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.3453261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Washington Nationals52c769.21$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9930844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves65c717.62$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Atlanta Braves46c660.66$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.121,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Atlanta Braves47c625.42$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.0813655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Washington Nationals54c466.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.731,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals63c408.38$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.82,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Braves48c387.52$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5148354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4777…18eebacked Washington Nationals53c383.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dce…3f18backed Atlanta Braves48c381.02$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2513…91fbbacked Atlanta Braves48c357.49$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.897248.6%35 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Atlanta Braves80c252.61$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5848850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Braves46c240.09$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6566448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed Washington Nationals55c230.8$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.876445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Washington Nationals53c227.69$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.689945.5%45 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Atlanta Braves47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.182445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…74d3backed Atlanta Braves47c204.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+44.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2395…1bc9backed Atlanta Braves48c203.45$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9556946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Atlanta Braves48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9512845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Braves47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10660350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c3…8cb5backed Washington Nationals53c196.87$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Atlanta Braves22c174.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.778530.6%26 W · 59 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Washington Nationals53c146.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7466551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Washington Nationals77c140.65$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5516453%87 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Atlanta Braves47c140$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.21,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Washington Nationals28c135$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.542241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb7…c6e4backed Atlanta Braves46c118.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.412650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals54c112.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.492,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Atlanta Braves46c112.09$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Washington Nationals53c110.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3143247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Atlanta Braves48c105.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.861,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Atlanta Braves47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5947849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa9…8b89backed Atlanta Braves46c102.55$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Atlanta Braves47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3154146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Washington Nationals53c93.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.458949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Washington Nationals74c88.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2351555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Atlanta Braves58c83.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.255464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Atlanta Braves48c75.69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3615858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Atlanta Braves47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1327248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Washington Nationals54c72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8849942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Washington Nationals28c67.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7725452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Washington Nationals52c65.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9946659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals54c64.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.732,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Washington Nationals34c64.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Atlanta Braves46c54.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.668652.3%45 W · 41 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a61…4db6backed Washington Nationals54c54.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Washington Nationals53c49.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.128550.6%43 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Washington Nationals52c48.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.251,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Atlanta Braves59c47.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.551,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals37c40.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.916,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc794…d010backed Atlanta Braves48c40.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x399d…415cbacked Washington Nationals71c39.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Nationals65c38.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.693,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Washington Nationals53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4433051.8%171 W · 159 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Atlanta Braves43c36.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.741,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Washington Nationals55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.867742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe420…09afbacked Atlanta Braves76c35.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.52366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals71c35.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Washington Nationals64c35.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3626553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals52c33.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.332,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals72c31.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.914,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Atlanta Braves48c30.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7449649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee6…f017backed Washington Nationals53c27.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.525442.6%23 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Washington Nationals53c25.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6189950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Washington Nationals53c25.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6131650.6%160 W · 156 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Washington Nationals52c21.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.083243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Washington Nationals72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d3d…943fbacked Washington Nationals79c18.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8130%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Washington Nationals78c14.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.