TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fa9…8b89

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 56 out of 100; worst Stocks at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$29.83
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$73.62
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$54.61
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 23?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$26.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-78.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C or higher on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$13.92
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.23
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 14 be between 80 and 85?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.49
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-79.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55.37
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+263.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.25
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Schalke 04 (-1.5)backed FC Schalke 04 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$157.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$52.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.6
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$11.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Europa League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ChatGPT Outage by April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.