Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8754f00e57ede846cc70c2b5558fafccfb903a0828ed189d8664e7149b9e5cc3

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,010,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $806,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,010,026 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	79,864$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.5	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	1c	71,683$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.12	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	26,985$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	26,864$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.14	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	20,806$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.99	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	19,365$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.57	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	17,605$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	13,917$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.8	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	1c	11,729$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.26	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	0c	10,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	1c	10,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	10,000$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.26	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	2c	8,328$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.96	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd112…6622backed Yes	1c	7,903$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	7,855$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.66	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	7,415$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	7,029$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	9c	7,000$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.94	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	6,594$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.54	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5619…9446backed Yes	1c	6,578$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.33	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d1…bc55backed Yes	16c	6,074$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	6,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	1c	5,951$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	1c	5,782$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.05	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	0c	5,722$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.94	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	1c	5,610$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.56	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x395a…a05dbacked Yes	0c	5,046$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	9	0%0 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	1c	5,000$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	0c	4,854$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.16	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	4,614$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.57	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	4,501$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	1c	4,453$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.61	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	0c	4,400$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	4,265$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.01	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	0c	4,100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	2c	3,900$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.8	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	7c	3,554$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.71	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes	1c	3,374$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	3,123$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.02	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	1c	3,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	1c	3,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,622$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.05	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	2,484$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.38	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	2,476$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.83	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	1c	2,118$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.63	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	19c	2,097$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked Yes	1c	2,093$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.11	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	2,048$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.96	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	2,019$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	7c	2,000$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.86	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,932$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.39	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	2c	1,756$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.91	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be3…44a5backed Yes	2c	1,727$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.51	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	1,700$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,600$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.53	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,532$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.12	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	1,530$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.48	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45be…ab8abacked Yes	1c	1,422$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	199	30.2%60 W · 139 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x124c…5544backed Yes	1c	1,393$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes	17c	1,202$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.38	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	4c	1,171$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.33	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	12c	1,151$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.21	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes	18c	1,130$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	1,099$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.48	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	2c	1,097$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128e…9dd3backed Yes	1c	1,096$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	3c	1,060$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	1c	1,053$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	1,025$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.38	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	20c	1,011$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	3c	1,001$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	8c	958.57$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.95	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1740…d7c0backed No	80c	876.38$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.28	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	16c	868.37$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.94	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	7c	861.73$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.3	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b91…982dbacked Yes	1c	841.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+82.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	9c	839.56$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.24	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	16c	837.84$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.05	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	1c	811.44$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	3c	762.06$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	2c	752.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.27	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b9…0d39backed Yes	15c	613.49$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.91	108	20.4%22 W · 86 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	19c	598.78$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.97	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20a6…e06abacked Yes	17c	559.48$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.83	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	16c	538.35$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.14	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…4760backed Yes	6c	492.93$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	4c	471.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	456.9$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.38	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	11c	444.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.61	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc793…02a9backed Yes	13c	429.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.2	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3e…74d0backed Yes	17c	411.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56e…9457backed Yes	3c	411.51$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee72…5d8dbacked Yes	17c	410$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.7	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	8c	408.8$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.28	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	10c	397.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.22	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x132d…b771backed Yes	10c	352.73$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.54	16	25%4 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1350…4c07backed Yes	17c	337.53$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.25	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	6c	332.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event