Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b91a54056ebc142428e238a0ab3740d58ebad3badfd9a4f48f375c6ff42e65

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,245,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $730,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,245,166 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	1c	131,612$1,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,604.03	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	1c	87,973$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	44,854$1,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.39	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	6c	41,669$2,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,613.12	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	36,965$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.71	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…dc20backed Yes	0c	21,084$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.38	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	20,000$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.62	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	18,189$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.97	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	16,238$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.31	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc5…fe75backed Yes	0c	16,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	15,831$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.91	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	11,734$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.25	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	2c	11,729$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.43	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	2c	11,000$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	10,604$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.3	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	5c	10,514$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.68	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	3c	10,045$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.45	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2de…e4bdbacked Yes	0c	10,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	1c	9,984$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.51	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	1c	9,537$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.72	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	1c	9,534$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.14	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	5c	9,447$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	9,136$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.57	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	8,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	5c	7,300$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.09	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	20c	7,000$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,409.71	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	1c	6,691$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.8	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	6,320$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	3c	5,910$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.92	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	5,818$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.45	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	1c	5,800$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.7	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	3c	5,779$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.88	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	5,674$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.14	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	5,591$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.69	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	1c	5,567$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.49	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	1c	5,500$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.3	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	5c	5,152$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.23	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	5c	5,146$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.43	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	5,056$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	4c	5,000$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.2	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	1c	4,887$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.12	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	4,629$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.31	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed Yes	1c	4,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	99	21.2%21 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd112…6622backed Yes	7c	4,462$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	5c	4,412$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.18	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	4,000$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.3	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	3,996$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.04	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	4c	3,888$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.11	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	3,869$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.34	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	2c	3,798$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.36	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	14c	3,780$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.51	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes	2c	3,775$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.93	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	3,762$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.31	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	1c	3,500$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.01	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	1c	3,500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	20c	3,489$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.19	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	3,350$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.95	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	1c	3,200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	3,145$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	1c	3,137$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.84	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked Yes	3c	3,101$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.53	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	1c	3,010$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.05	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	1c	3,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5088…8844backed Yes	2c	2,851$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.44	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes	21c	2,816$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	2c	2,809$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	2,733$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.49	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	2c	2,666$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes	0c	2,613$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	2c	2,576$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.93	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,559$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	6c	2,536$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.36	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes	1c	2,525$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	3c	2,500$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.33	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	2c	2,418$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	3c	2,379$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.06	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be3…44a5backed Yes	4c	2,365$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.6	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	4c	2,321$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	2,187$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.61	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	2,116$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.47	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	2,103$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.07	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c54…2d86backed Yes	4c	2,095$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.03	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+158.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	2,069$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.24	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	7c	2,032$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.16	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	80c	2,013$1,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.6	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…51bfbacked Yes	5c	1,986$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.59	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,960$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.41	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	7c	1,939$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.09	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeded…4dcabacked Yes	6c	1,913$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.51	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	2c	1,850$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.65	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	15c	1,818$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.34	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	4c	1,817$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.89	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5619…9446backed Yes	4c	1,807$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.05	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	5c	1,805$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.62	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4753…1d8fbacked Yes	6c	1,783$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.04	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	9c	1,779$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.55	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Yes	2c	1,730$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.88	199	33.2%66 W · 133 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event