Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c1eb138b94580c1e71c4f636646d86ae855d17f302261f7306e2395a471df2

Rebuilt 59 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,996,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,491,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,996,557 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	2c	174,696$4,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,041.99	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	1c	153,715$1,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,704.91	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes	1c	99,815$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.57	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	11c	50,111$5,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,560.1	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	10c	36,080$3,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,628.97	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	7c	30,995$2,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,090.59	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7d…5913backed Yes	6c	26,666$1,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,665.81	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	24,761$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.41	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	5c	22,091$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.32	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	8c	19,502$1,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,528.37	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	16,662$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.74	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	2c	15,679$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.58	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	5c	15,084$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.74	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	5c	15,011$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.57	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	7c	13,554$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.27	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	12,787$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.32	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	9c	12,211$1,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,147.9	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	8c	12,005$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.98	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	11c	11,262$1,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,281.02	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	9c	11,000$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	1c	10,951$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.29	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	11c	10,918$1,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,158.91	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	18c	10,736$1,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,931.02	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	6c	10,600$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.21	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	10c	10,105$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.95	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	3c	10,000$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.87	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	10c	9,808$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.25	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	2c	9,160$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.8	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	5c	8,407$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.81	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	1c	8,334$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.61	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	9c	8,311$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.85	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	9c	8,218$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	9c	8,082$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.25	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	16c	8,006$1,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,291.26	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	13c	7,840$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.64	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	9c	7,588$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.73	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	7,304$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.2	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	9c	7,043$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.13	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	4c	6,898$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.71	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	7c	6,823$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.07	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	6,651$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.15	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb3…0519backed Yes	3c	6,557$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.18	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes	15c	6,466$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.16	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	8c	6,438$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.34	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	8c	6,128$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.75	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	2c	6,084$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.5	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	5,567$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.37	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	10c	5,558$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.12	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…f76abacked Yes	1c	5,353$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.98	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	6cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c54…2d86backed Yes	9c	5,234$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.24	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+158.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	4c	5,232$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.32	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	10c	5,229$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.23	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6904…ea7ebacked Yes	6c	5,121$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.2	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	8c	5,087$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.02	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5359…6b35backed Yes	19c	5,000$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.03	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	3c	4,702$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.76	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	6c	4,684$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.97	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a6…e06abacked Yes	10c	4,432$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.16	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	13c	4,400$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.48	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	4,398$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.71	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac2…a3f6backed Yes	1c	4,297$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	14c	4,292$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.6	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	3c	4,131$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.61	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	10c	4,107$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.87	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	6c	4,038$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.06	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e7…4a56backed Yes	1c	4,036$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61e…6906backed Yes	16c	4,009$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.15	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes	15c	4,002$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	16cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	1c	3,921$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb936…a6a6backed Yes	4c	3,762$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.74	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	15c	3,744$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.4	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	7c	3,727$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.63	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	4c	3,723$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.39	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	1c	3,712$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe43d…3978backed Yes	13c	3,580$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.77	200	25%50 W · 150 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	6c	3,552$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.88	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2cc…b624backed Yes	13c	3,546$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.58	111	21.6%24 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	2c	3,501$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.36	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	12c	3,442$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.54	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	2c	3,430$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.76	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes	13c	3,429$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.05	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+18.0wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0dcb…a7b4backed Yes	38c	3,418$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,309.9	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	3,380$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.38	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed No	79c	3,376$2,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.68	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	7c	3,117$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.04	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	12c	2,946$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.95	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Yes	3c	2,825$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.23	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	9c	2,671$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.65	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,627$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.29	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes	9c	2,600$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.7	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	2c	2,520$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	6c	2,497$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.6	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes	11c	2,427$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.59	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	1c	2,425$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.85	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	76c	2,349$1,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.44	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed No	79c	2,234$1,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.06	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	16c	2,216$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.84	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd8…f0c2backed Yes	13c	2,185$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.68	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed No	80c	2,054$1,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.4	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	3c	2,052$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.68	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event