Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1657be27eb2b0f4f101da17323d045efbaccacdff0820537c3e05eefee916c65

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $741,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $362,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $741,191 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	95,719$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.05	136	16.2%22 W · 114 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b4…7092backed Yes	0c	47,210$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.29	83	8.4%7 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	40,949$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.58	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	0c	39,813$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.7	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	22,470$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.82	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	20,100$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd112…6622backed Yes	1c	19,038$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9c…e333backed Yes	0c	16,500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	15,426$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.42	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	13,194$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.24	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	0c	9,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.05	324	15.7%51 W · 273 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	8,388$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	1c	8,380$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.72	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	0c	7,853$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	0c	7,021$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	6,376$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.26	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	0c	6,071$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.43	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	5,447$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.07	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	5,359$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.15	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	5,176$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.1	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	5,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.79	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	4,980$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.79	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	0c	4,890$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	1c	4,600$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.1	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	0c	4,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	0c	4,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	0c	3,629$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	0c	3,500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,346$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.34	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	9c	3,182$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.25	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	3,050$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	2,889$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	2,749$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8729…7a5bbacked Yes	1c	2,615$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…2004backed Yes	1c	2,558$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.87	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	7c	2,019$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.1	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	1c	1,781$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	1,735$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.42	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	1c	1,616$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8d…b8f8backed Yes	1c	1,520$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.39	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	3cpaid	+708.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	1,505$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	1c	1,439$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	1c	1,437$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.37	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	10c	1,337$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.67	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	1c	1,330$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.67	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7072…e65cbacked Yes	1c	1,300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	12c	1,179$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.69	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	1,175$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.2	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3c…1a17backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-90.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	3c	999.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	999.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.69	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1350…4c07backed Yes	12c	992.94$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.15	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	5c	942.8$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	288	12.8%37 W · 251 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	1c	882.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	15c	799.98$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	693.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.47	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea6b…d5abbacked Yes	3c	691.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+151.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b4c…4277backed Yes	3c	684.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	67	10.4%7 W · 60 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	667.53$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.68	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	2c	636.58$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	5c	612$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	5c	564.47$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.03	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	11c	558.15$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.65	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	3c	514.93$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	149	12.8%19 W · 130 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f9f…0ad6backed Yes	15c	499.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	86	9.3%8 W · 78 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	2c	499.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	4c	484.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	4c	449.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	5c	351.19$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	8c	309.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.29	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6173…d511backed Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	4c	299.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71a…992fbacked Yes	10c	257.75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc604…6dbabacked Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a0…4230backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdadf…8034backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	15c	192.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc7…e49abacked Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc793…02a9backed Yes	9c	154$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5f…0ecdbacked Yes	7c	150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb1…4e87backed Yes	14c	140$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2194…3a90backed Yes	14c	125$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8bb…f9c0backed Yes	15c	104.43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+228.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	442	27.4%121 W · 321 L	-21.9wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee72…5d8dbacked Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a6…79f5backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4645…8b22backed Yes	15c	86.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event