Music · resolved market
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00893c3a27af62dcc162864433e896156c1088eec507437424fb726d2a11418e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Yes | 53c | 20,625$10,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,997.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,425$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 40c | 10,455$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,247.95 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 44c | 9,264$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,223.47 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 44c | 8,689$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,883.72 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 53c | 6,990$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.12 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7b…974fbacked Yes | 55c | 5,968$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 37c | 4,492$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.05 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 59c | 3,354$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 43c | 3,239$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.09 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…567bbacked No | 64c | 3,049$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…acecbacked Yes | 65c | 2,913$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 74cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 59c | 2,811$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.52 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 60c | 1,957$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.41 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,732$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.28 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 45c | 1,714$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.63 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 68c | 1,555$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…81f2backed Yes | 60c | 1,482$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 37c | 1,482$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.06 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 44c | 1,427$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 53c | 1,408$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.58 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 38c | 1,378$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.13 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 53c | 1,350$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.49 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Yes | 53c | 1,345$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 40c | 1,344$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed No | 37c | 1,272$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 39c | 1,266$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.77 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 68c | 1,174$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.31 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…458dbacked No | 62c | 1,063$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +1,204.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 42c | 997$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d23…b31cbacked Yes | 40c | 968.22$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 77c | 832$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed No | 44c | 768.92$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.64 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 43c | 768.73$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 741.79$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 57c | 699.98$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.99 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 33c | 693$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.31 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed No | 23c | 677$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 77c | 677$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 60c | 625$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +168%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 38c | 600$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 79c | 597.47$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.67 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 71c | 586.96$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.13 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 41c | 568.33$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.63 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 48c | 555.15$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd756…c965backed No | 61c | 519.83$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Yes | 61c | 506.11$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.42 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 39c | 494.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…f33cbacked Yes | 60c | 489.03$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 69c | 421.16$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 39c | 420$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 74c | 409.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 44c | 406.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.46 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 67c | 399.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.99 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 23c | 386$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed No | 53c | 380.84$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.99 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 23c | 379$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked No | 47c | 376.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…d9e7backed Yes | 41c | 368.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 47c | 361.8$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.75 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed No | 23c | 359$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 41c | 358.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95b6…326bbacked Yes | 41c | 317.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4a…a1b9backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 56c | 311.45$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…66efbacked No | 64c | 309.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…0da3backed Yes | 36c | 308.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 48c | 301$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…59afbacked Yes | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…d024backed Yes | 67c | 297.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Yes | 34c | 296.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed Yes | 77c | 292$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…9a8abacked Yes | 70c | 285.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 65c | 277.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 39c | 275$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.75 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked Yes | 58c | 242.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…d300backed Yes | 62c | 241.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 48c | 224.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked Yes | 67c | 219.06$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Yes | 63c | 211.61$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked No | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed No | 33c | 199.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.56per pick | 27cpaid | +276.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 199.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…747fbacked Yes | 51c | 196.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 38c | 192$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…f2c5backed Yes | 68c | 180.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 31c | 178$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…18e5backed No | 39c | 170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…ea7dbacked Yes | 62c | 170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed No | 38c | 154.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed No | 63c | 153.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +107%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…2b18backed Yes | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…b524backed No | 38c | 152.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Yes | 66c | 152.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.