Music · resolved market
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4558c0f9c4cfa8d40101bc4cced083186ef95343f0b4e24c505e7cd3df9e0896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed No | 61c | 18,850$11,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,430.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 30c | 11,912$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.39 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 9,515$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 41c | 8,769$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.56 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 49c | 8,087$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,148.03 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 49c | 4,164$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 44c | 4,111$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.26 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 65c | 3,664$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed Yes | 58c | 3,453$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.05 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed Yes | 49c | 2,182$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked No | 57c | 2,117$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed Yes | 31c | 2,002$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 54c | 1,959$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.53 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 64c | 1,892$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 35c | 1,814$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.56 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…63f3backed Yes | 49c | 1,405$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…fcedbacked No | 51c | 1,311$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…5c5cbacked No | 54c | 1,298$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 66c | 1,190$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.53 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…5b28backed Yes | 32c | 1,099$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.79 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 53c | 1,043$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.18 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.73 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 66c | 999.95$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.97 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 53c | 927.98$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed Yes | 36c | 900$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 54c | 897.19$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.67 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc211…55e7backed Yes | 32c | 820.14$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 67c | 807.32$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.41 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed No | 71c | 801.54$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 68cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +313.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Yes | 42c | 738.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 69c | 576.94$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.09 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…36d9backed Yes | 37c | 548.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 30c | 541.43$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 35c | 522.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.6 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +1,204.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 52c | 468.69$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.73 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 33c | 457.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.42 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed No | 66c | 441.95$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 66c | 427.35$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.05 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96aa…c145backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…558fbacked Yes | 40c | 365.4$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…1c14backed No | 65c | 355.9$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 50c | 350.2$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked Yes | 49c | 343.2$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +168%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 29c | 316.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.35 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5a…85a5backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…4073backed Yes | 34c | 291.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…9e9bbacked Yes | 49c | 290.46$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 54c | 288$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe240…4681backed Yes | 33c | 280$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 17cpaid | +199%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 35c | 273.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65efbacked Yes | 41c | 245.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 42c | 243.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 36c | 243.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…3724backed Yes | 46c | 242.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a180backed Yes | 35c | 236.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 31c | 232$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 62c | 230.12$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 46c | 229.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0d…7cd7backed Yes | 38c | 228.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked Yes | 49c | 224.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…fe73backed Yes | 45c | 221.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b5…a3a1backed Yes | 43c | 220.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f5…ff95backed Yes | 34c | 218.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 60c | 218.34$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…83bdbacked Yes | 47c | 212.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +199.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…35f8backed Yes | 50c | 209.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 53c | 206$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…d024backed No | 74c | 202.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…dfc1backed Yes | 37c | 201.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e693backed Yes | 50c | 200.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…b1bcbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 38c | 197.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 26c | 196.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.39 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…317ebacked Yes | 50c | 194.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 26c | 192.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…c9f3backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…250fbacked No | 53c | 188.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +133%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…b8b0backed Yes | 43c | 185.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +243.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 35c | 180.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…d9e9backed Yes | 43c | 175.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 57c | 159.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 75c | 158.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 30c | 153.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…2b94backed Yes | 45c | 152.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +288.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…890abacked Yes | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…7293backed No | 70c | 143.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Yes | 33c | 140$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…58e9backed Yes | 44c | 140$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes | 27c | 139.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…72debacked Yes | 43c | 135.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 11c | 135.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.