Music · resolved market
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a5be2b3cb7d13e72b14a5fc50815e0d3f62937c9746e6094127f41785a69235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 56c | 17,812$9,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,916.36 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 44c | 13,438$5,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.49 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 52c | 13,367$6,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,451.75 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 58c | 12,498$7,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,280.52 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 9,775$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 42c | 7,404$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.13 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 42c | 4,091$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…5b28backed Yes | 39c | 3,261$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked Yes | 45c | 3,230$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +168%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 57c | 3,122$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.26 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 39c | 2,731$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.87 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 57c | 2,511$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.81 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…da1fbacked No | 54c | 2,221$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.87 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 63c | 2,130$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.22 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 31c | 2,013$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.87 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed No | 37c | 2,000$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 37c | 1,960$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.61 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 53c | 1,878$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…5c5cbacked No | 55c | 1,800$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed No | 55c | 1,769$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 43c | 1,598$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 63c | 1,584$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.7 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 71c | 1,517$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 51c | 1,119$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,118$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…06cbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,015$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +1,392.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…683cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,011$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +2,144.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efe…4872backed No | 39c | 978.36$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 47c | 869.73$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.29 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…296ebacked Yes | 55c | 788.05$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 16cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…8956backed Yes | 29c | 787.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 12cpaid | +1,626.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…67fabacked Yes | 41c | 785.49$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +553.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…458dbacked Yes | 45c | 773$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 69c | 734.68$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.28 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 29c | 711$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…5681backed Yes | 50c | 595.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 49c | 581$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.26 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…221abacked No | 53c | 569.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 38c | 565.15$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.82 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 43c | 548.34$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 53c | 537.74$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked No | 72c | 521.08$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 35c | 499.97$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 61c | 476.89$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 47c | 466.54$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.14 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 50c | 449.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 54c | 423.81$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Yes | 60c | 414.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 38c | 406.41$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +285.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 47c | 400.74$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 76c | 394.2$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…2030backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63e…2b41backed Yes | 47c | 368.26$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +700.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf82e…5b63backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 48c | 361.27$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 64c | 356.85$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 41c | 350$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 62c | 334$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb57…4a7abacked Yes | 31c | 325.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +1,183.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…e8a4backed Yes | 27c | 308.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +871.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed No | 56c | 286.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…72acbacked No | 46c | 280.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e33…22febacked Yes | 73c | 274.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 12c | 274$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.03 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 53c | 255.74$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.21 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3122…e27abacked Yes | 40c | 240.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…ca2cbacked Yes | 28c | 227.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +290.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Yes | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…da39backed Yes | 24c | 208$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x269b…b2bebacked Yes | 12c | 206.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +5,317.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…1b1ebacked Yes | 5c | 203.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,563.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 70c | 201.39$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.86 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…a77abacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 60c | 191$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked Yes | 55c | 182.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 26c | 182.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…250fbacked Yes | 27c | 182.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +133%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…85e9backed Yes | 27c | 159.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +265.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…b6ecbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +675.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…5893backed Yes | 58c | 152.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23db…cf1cbacked No | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked No | 21c | 150.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 51c | 148.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…3724backed No | 64c | 147.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…17b6backed Yes | 65c | 146.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +1,447.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked No | 47c | 144.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 49c | 143.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 31c | 138.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a24…80c7backed No | 37c | 137.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.