Music · resolved market
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x394399d0391adb7f8acd4829f335eb95b350b416bfca915e17b958c7204028e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 71c | 22,179$15,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,700.47 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,425$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes | 64c | 8,789$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 26c | 8,540$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,318.55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 27c | 7,920$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,781.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 33c | 7,184$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,785.09 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 30c | 6,326$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.63 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 33c | 3,995$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.65 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 75c | 3,823$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.4 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 32c | 3,331$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe98…59b7backed Yes | 61c | 3,021$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 64c | 2,828$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.39 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed No | 29c | 2,748$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed No | 34c | 2,356$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…dd1bbacked Yes | 57c | 2,243$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 46c | 2,198$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.53 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 41c | 2,175$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.8 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 45c | 2,149$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.94 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 35c | 2,058$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.63 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…e50fbacked No | 42c | 1,968$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…3368backed Yes | 72c | 1,877$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 36c | 1,594$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.43 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 58c | 1,513$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked Yes | 67c | 1,489$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 39c | 1,419$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.1 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 68c | 1,351$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…0742backed Yes | 73c | 1,252$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked No | 42c | 1,243$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 64c | 1,200$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 32c | 1,142$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.18 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…d080backed No | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 37c | 1,111$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.93 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed No | 26c | 1,111$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.13 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 69c | 1,111$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 69c | 1,032$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 68cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 46c | 1,000$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.16 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 68c | 978.04$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.07 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 43c | 928$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.48 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…504fbacked No | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 35c | 889.39$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.39 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 60c | 855.36$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.08 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 28c | 811.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.63 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…592fbacked Yes | 75c | 784.4$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…5c5cbacked Yes | 55c | 749.97$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.39 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 35c | 734.11$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.38 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…acecbacked Yes | 75c | 716.19$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 74cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 25c | 650$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 45c | 615$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +168%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 75c | 599.99$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 67c | 599.92$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 33c | 562.89$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.39 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 43c | 547.87$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…8083backed Yes | 59c | 496.1$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 57c | 487$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.01 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 58c | 487$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.59 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 25c | 472.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 58c | 455$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…00e9backed Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…16ffbacked Yes | 58c | 422.13$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 30c | 400$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.95 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…d5d9backed Yes | 70c | 399.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked Yes | 66c | 399.94$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.16 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Yes | 55c | 397.06$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 40c | 387.37$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 63c | 364.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.45 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…d024backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…11cebacked No | 36c | 338.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…aa88backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…06d7backed Yes | 62c | 320.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…1c7ebacked Yes | 72c | 312.21$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 44c | 310.47$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…9810backed Yes | 58c | 300$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked No | 38c | 300$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efe…4872backed Yes | 61c | 299.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 33c | 294.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.42 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…6857backed No | 24c | 294$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked No | 46c | 290$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…661bbacked Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 62c | 264.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.91 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…d338backed Yes | 57c | 263.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 261.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked Yes | 73c | 260$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…58e9backed No | 45c | 259.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…b53dbacked Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked No | 44c | 247.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 41c | 247.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked No | 41c | 245.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +290.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 16c | 243$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 37c | 233.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…b6ecbacked No | 44c | 229.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 59c | 226.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…01ddbacked No | 43c | 226.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 34c | 223.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed No | 32c | 221.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…7e51backed Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.