TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c12,425$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.98323.1%1 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes5c4,368$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9222927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6d…078abacked Yes24c1,508$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e5…dcc9backed Yes27c1,194$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7034…e81dbacked Yes18c1,191$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4927…30c6backed Yes21c1,081$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No77c951.6$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.695743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddc…44b6backed Yes21c900.38$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No73c791.96$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.497343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecde…c846backed Yes13c656.35$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.685030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c4…43cabacked No78c638.18$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.46144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes21c625$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304526.7%12 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+191.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc662…b919backed No78c600$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes10c543$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.414315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…a404backed Yes18c521.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes18c519.45$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.066926.1%18 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+136.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x772c…0151backed Yes19c519.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid+227%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed No78c512.62$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8432…8360backed Yes23c500$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No79c461.55$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.76339.7%25 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa909…ce53backed Yes21c446.05$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes22c430.28$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.154022.5%9 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3170…924cbacked Yes20c407.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes17c384.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.911478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f55…fe67backed Yes26c382.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes17c370.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.052821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed Yes25c361.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x594e…1c11backed Yes17c259.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.843135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd46d…567fbacked Yes18c256.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes11c250.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3619939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes15c218.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.765349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes6c211.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.925930.5%18 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x993b…dedabacked No80c201.85$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.371838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x528f…c6e2backed Yes10c201.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…bea7backed Yes24c200.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac1…8b5bbacked Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.932626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No80c162.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9be…ab71backed Yes24c158.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf4…c3d5backed Yes15c158.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d39…094cbacked Yes32c155.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-50.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8dd…9b5abacked No64c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.584148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes25c148$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.521947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes15c133.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.481338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+81%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc11e…75c8backed Yes11c129.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5830…9f2fbacked Yes23c122.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9c…f449backed Yes13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1023…a440backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes10c114.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.327121.1%15 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1008…d2efbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No77c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.98739.1%34 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bc…67e2backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144761.7%29 W · 18 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0b3c…cca7backed Yes22c98.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes25c96.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0478…3faabacked Yes15c82.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.05911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0d…52d2backed Yes27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c6adbacked Yes27c78.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No77c78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.944434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d6…4c19backed Yes26c77.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No76c76.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.262934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeccd…76ddbacked Yes19c67.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f08…54d3backed No75c66.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.664358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No64c65.24$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.254233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e27…d603backed No79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3b2…da22backed Yes18c59.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No57c58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.967234.7%25 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.754629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5824…000ebacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…1165backed Yes24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed No32c39.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.162040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No73c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.993953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…56edbacked No51c35.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed No78c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.262755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No76c27.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.125572.7%40 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2c…bc29backed No79c20.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.