TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,264 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes2c1,000$24 inLost-$23.7415119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Yes2c918.27$22 inLost-$224531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes7c768.06$50 inLost-$50417.3%3 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-79.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes3c641.33$18 inLost-$17.611625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes3c640.6$19 inLost-$19.491478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5433…b9e9backed Yes7c507.86$38 inLost-$37.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Yes11c468.99$53 inLost-$53.181225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes12c407.36$50 inLost-$501520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2acc…cfedbacked Yes3c400.09$12 inLost-$12.3780%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7844…8c8dbacked Yes6c334.6$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes14c299.99$42 inLost-$425633.9%19 W · 37 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes13c235.2$30 inLost-$29.994629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811a…ac3cbacked No79c222.21$176 inWon+$46.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8248…bee2backed No79c216.22$171 inWon+$45.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes19c211.87$41 inLost-$41.257425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17df…f015backed No79c209.37$165 inWon+$43.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes17c206.29$35 inLost-$357139.4%28 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e13…055dbacked No79c205.03$162 inWon+$43.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2164…a853backed No79c204.13$161 inWon+$42.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…70e5backed No79c203.38$161 inWon+$42.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2acb…b682backed No79c201.84$159 inWon+$42.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8280…2b64backed No79c201.35$159 inWon+$42.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc71…b45bbacked No79c201.32$159 inWon+$42.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes10c199.99$20 inLost-$201074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59bc…ed04backed No79c199.77$158 inWon+$41.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…bdbdbacked No79c199.64$158 inWon+$41.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa95…0817backed No79c199.34$157 inWon+$41.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a23…0eb8backed No79c199.04$157 inWon+$41.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…0a58backed No79c196.82$155 inWon+$41.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes10c190.1$19 inLost-$19.01664.5%3 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a2…085cbacked No79c185.71$147 inWon+$391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd7…047abacked Yes11c133.33$15 inLost-$15277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee2…2719backed Yes17c118.18$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes18c75.87$14 inLost-$13.58119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-84.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No76c14.34$11 inWon+$3.513953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.