TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,161 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes7c11,994$825 inLost-$824.938140.7%33 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes8c2,841$233 inLost-$2336642.4%28 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadf3…504fbacked Yes9c1,148$108 inLost-$107.51540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes7c1,024$73 inLost-$73.0810529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d3…8abcbacked Yes10c972.91$99 inLost-$99.530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes12c915.85$114 inLost-$114.253327.3%9 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked Yes11c902.92$100 inLost-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes8c576.61$47 inLost-$47.43407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick12cpaid+345.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes10c522.83$50 inLost-$50.137626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c476$34 inLost-$34.414629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes7c420$29 inLost-$28.567121.1%15 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes6c403.88$25 inLost-$25.481478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes8c314.99$25 inLost-$25.4215119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes8c300$25 inLost-$24.68234.1%28 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes8c204.99$17 inLost-$16.811136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96aa…c145backed Yes6c200$13 inLost-$12.8130%0 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Yes8c200$15 inLost-$15.2119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-86.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab15…b267backed Yes8c170.8$14 inLost-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff0…4d19backed Yes9c153.85$13 inLost-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes12c141.06$17 inLost-$17.354318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ad…ca24backed Yes15c131.24$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a9…8b3bbacked Yes15c126$18 inLost-$18.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c2…1b1dbacked Yes8c125.61$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.