Music · resolved market
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x490b9862e7aedbc58b2552a664549a2f905e3816395548ada540e30bca5bd24e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,325$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…77cdbacked Yes | 31c | 2,471$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes | 38c | 2,130$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.64 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 13c | 1,770$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 23c | 1,450$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.44 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…7cd2backed Yes | 23c | 1,250$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed Yes | 25c | 1,209$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.95 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 78c | 1,146$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.66 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 62c | 1,138$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.33 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 12c | 1,061$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 76c | 794.21$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.8 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 66c | 732.56$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.97 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed No | 71c | 719$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Yes | 29c | 719$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked No | 76c | 676.99$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 29c | 634.27$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 24c | 614.14$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +285.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…666ebacked Yes | 25c | 585.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…bc60backed Yes | 17c | 552.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf65…b793backed Yes | 38c | 530.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…85a3backed Yes | 25c | 516.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x280a…87fcbacked Yes | 24c | 500.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa561…f676backed Yes | 14c | 430.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 75c | 418.74$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 65c | 418.27$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 21c | 410.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 15c | 386.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc189…274dbacked Yes | 14c | 338.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 15c | 303.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 66c | 303.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…fd0bbacked Yes | 16c | 299.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf533…6376backed Yes | 12c | 293.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 73c | 284.89$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 26c | 273.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 76c | 266.66$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…67e2backed No | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 12c | 246$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…8b2cbacked Yes | 18c | 245.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 77c | 241$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 25c | 239.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 210.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Yes | 21c | 203.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fe…c607backed Yes | 24c | 203.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 78c | 197.81$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 169.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…af89backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…3087backed Yes | 18c | 156.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1023…a440backed Yes | 12c | 150.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 14c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…a7c9backed Yes | 20c | 143.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…9e7cbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 76c | 140.79$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 11c | 140.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 75c | 136$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…b8e2backed Yes | 23c | 126.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed No | 71c | 124.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a31…df1fbacked Yes | 12c | 120.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 65c | 115.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaf…ce55backed Yes | 16c | 115.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…2444backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…5d34backed Yes | 17c | 110.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 35c | 108.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2030…9ac7backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b6…f584backed Yes | 19c | 105.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e200backed Yes | 18c | 104.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe06…a507backed Yes | 19c | 103.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fe9abacked Yes | 18c | 103.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96aa…c145backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…1165backed Yes | 16c | 96.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed No | 77c | 94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 75c | 93.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a4…02a7backed Yes | 12c | 92.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 25c | 90.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked No | 80c | 89.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 30c | 89.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…9fc3backed Yes | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…6673backed Yes | 26c | 86.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba44…bf0ebacked Yes | 24c | 80.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 67.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 24c | 66.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed Yes | 30c | 63.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 52c | 59.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…8028backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…e344backed Yes | 20c | 53.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…72fabacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…b6ecbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…602dbacked Yes | 23c | 45.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.