Music · resolved market
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x569de5b320eb6ffc682a365f1f7040f66554d70fe85a8fc38fdc7310c19f5c11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,449.97 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 9,594$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 50c | 5,468$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.6 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 73c | 5,218$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.68 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 76c | 5,111$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.72 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 71c | 4,366$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.74 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed No | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 25c | 3,666$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.02 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 29c | 2,969$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.72 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 73c | 2,938$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.15 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 79c | 2,559$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.56 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 27c | 2,287$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.62 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 70c | 1,995$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 79c | 1,000$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…8360backed No | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Yes | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 69c | 989.86$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 74c | 923.25$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.68 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 77c | 881.84$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.7 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b12…42e2backed Yes | 30c | 875.46$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked Yes | 16c | 875$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 24c | 852.35$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.77 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 75c | 800.33$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.2 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 73c | 755$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.15 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…e78fbacked Yes | 26c | 739.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed No | 75c | 736.47$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed No | 73c | 700.33$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 28c | 700$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8f…d72ebacked Yes | 30c | 667.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 25c | 646.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.18 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…296ebacked Yes | 23c | 549.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 16cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 75c | 521$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.57 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 461.51$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.33 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f1…3ecebacked Yes | 28c | 445.64$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 67c | 443.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.47 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 56c | 411.29$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.03 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 76c | 401.32$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.43 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 74c | 359$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.97 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 27c | 350.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.12 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 27c | 323.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.33 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Yes | 32c | 312.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 77c | 311.89$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.88 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 26c | 301.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 77c | 295.33$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.08 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Yes | 33c | 292.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 25c | 276.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ee…5709backed Yes | 28c | 267.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…8fd8backed No | 76c | 260.6$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…11cebacked Yes | 35c | 228.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 74c | 225$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +290.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Yes | 26c | 224.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +278.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked Yes | 31c | 218.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…9fffbacked Yes | 28c | 218.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 73c | 191$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…b338backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaf…6188backed Yes | 27c | 180.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +269.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…e1fdbacked Yes | 29c | 171.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +239.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 29c | 168$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef9…4035backed Yes | 31c | 161.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a48…497ebacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 27c | 160$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…3954backed Yes | 32c | 157.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8426…2b89backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 69c | 149.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 62c | 149.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…9832backed Yes | 33c | 146.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 28c | 141.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc8…a9e5backed Yes | 32c | 135.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +208%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked No | 76c | 135.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdb…9cbabacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 66c | 130$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +320%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef8…86dfbacked No | 75c | 130$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed Yes | 39c | 129.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 64c | 125.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…59fcbacked Yes | 25c | 121.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 117.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…30c6backed Yes | 26c | 115.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked Yes | 28c | 115$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…a8e1backed Yes | 27c | 112.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed No | 70c | 112$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 22c | 111$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…af5abacked Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…e81cbacked Yes | 24c | 105.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4a…a1b9backed Yes | 24c | 104.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 20c | 101.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…e2c0backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 80c | 97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…5c40backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6486…0783backed Yes | 31c | 94.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 73c | 91.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 30c | 90.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…809ebacked No | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 24c | 86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.