Music · resolved market
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b22ac67fb89871597caa6e24e7e598deea3bb2f8106bb2598457f1fa49bb09f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 23c | 27,081$6,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,226.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 76c | 9,891$7,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.43 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed Yes | 73c | 8,094$5,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 27c | 6,050$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.66 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 24c | 5,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 79c | 4,151$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.81 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 23c | 3,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 74c | 2,902$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.87 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 59c | 2,778$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.78 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 78c | 2,226$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 47c | 1,686$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.6 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 77c | 1,679$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4128backed Yes | 79c | 1,640$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…d062backed Yes | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +251.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…80bebacked No | 40c | 1,468$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 22c | 1,334$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.14 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…2f3fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,280$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed Yes | 41c | 1,212$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…9810backed Yes | 77c | 1,208$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 20c | 1,171$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.93 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…6403backed Yes | 76c | 1,091$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 48c | 1,040$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.06 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 22c | 1,040$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.47 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…8ef9backed Yes | 76c | 945.95$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 50c | 938.99$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 44c | 938.1$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 29c | 936.57$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.06 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 77c | 926.15$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 29c | 918.62$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.89 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 27c | 827.01$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.19 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 23c | 816.68$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.55 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…0188backed Yes | 76c | 779.15$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 18c | 692.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 77c | 645$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…d076backed Yes | 78c | 630$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 78c | 600$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…5daabacked Yes | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +223.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked Yes | 64c | 550.72$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…78c9backed Yes | 78c | 514.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 24c | 513$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 52c | 507.82$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 42c | 484.26$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked No | 23c | 441$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…d024backed Yes | 74c | 399.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…8f16backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 25c | 369$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 61c | 319.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…16ffbacked Yes | 77c | 316.88$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 53c | 304.17$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 76c | 299.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 77c | 297$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 34c | 266.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed No | 44c | 256$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 27c | 254.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d19…ec07backed No | 17c | 244.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked Yes | 59c | 239.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…259bbacked Yes | 46c | 219.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 76c | 215.25$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…d1a9backed Yes | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 49c | 183$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed No | 9c | 155$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…6ea4backed No | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…6927backed No | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +234.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 79c | 140.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5790…5cc4backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…e54bbacked No | 20c | 126.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 54c | 113.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 79c | 100.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f1…3ecebacked Yes | 50c | 100.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…8b5bbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…62b2backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +320%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…da1fbacked No | 20c | 99.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 80c | 98.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked No | 42c | 94.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 51c | 92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 53c | 91.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb095…aea1backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 23c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 46c | 72.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 46c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 24c | 68.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed No | 22c | 65.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed No | 24c | 63.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…11cebacked No | 54c | 61.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 26c | 60.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.