Music · resolved market
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c55cf660ee4a0236fa940e7e78fbd241d6076f1bd97d8e9a4e7222bc8e86fe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 13c | 24,414$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,198.24 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 24,100$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 14c | 20,348$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,403.06 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 12c | 16,459$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,513.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 9c | 10,781$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,778.3 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 6c | 10,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,369.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 13c | 6,000$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,212.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed No | 6c | 4,700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.59 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…ed01backed No | 31c | 3,509$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 8c | 2,734$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.93 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…a528backed Yes | 77c | 2,540$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 65c | 2,229$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.56 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 12c | 2,166$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.79 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 10c | 1,827$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.33 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed Yes | 79c | 1,791$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed No | 5c | 1,700$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +867.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 6c | 1,459$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x148a…7cd1backed No | 8c | 1,320$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…c59fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,297$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 7c | 1,262$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.67 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 79c | 1,174$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.96 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 12c | 1,168$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.22 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0d52backed Yes | 78c | 968$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed No | 10c | 926.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +228.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 18c | 883.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.53 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed No | 15c | 880$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed No | 9c | 813$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +224.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…d6debacked No | 15c | 805$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed No | 15c | 804$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed No | 10c | 797$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed No | 15c | 791$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…8df1backed No | 22c | 780$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 19c | 775.57$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.33 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked No | 22c | 758$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…a002backed No | 9c | 749$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +590.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed No | 22c | 727$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 15c | 650$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked No | 15c | 596$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed No | 12c | 549.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.56per pick | 27cpaid | +276.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 7c | 549.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…4940backed No | 6c | 546.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +114%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…d467backed No | 7c | 538.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,246.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 16c | 530.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.32 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked No | 15c | 516$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +315.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 502.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…36fdbacked No | 11c | 449.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +349.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 62c | 437.26$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.95 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 8c | 400.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.43 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked No | 4c | 380.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.74 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed No | 15c | 356$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked No | 15c | 337$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +313.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 15c | 331$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.35 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a48…497ebacked No | 11c | 330.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 7c | 313.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.38 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…3ceabacked Yes | 80c | 299.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 19c | 299.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 21c | 289.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 21c | 285.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 9c | 279.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.97 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 8c | 246.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 7c | 240$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…66acbacked No | 13c | 231$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 5c | 222.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 21c | 222$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…f61cbacked Yes | 77c | 217.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 8c | 209.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…7651backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 8c | 199.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 15c | 187.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 35c | 177$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…8956backed No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 12cpaid | +1,626.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed No | 20c | 157.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…30c6backed No | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 12c | 114.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 19c | 109.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.35per pick | 21cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked No | 16c | 100.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d4…7345backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked No | 13c | 88.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…4bffbacked No | 15c | 86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 19cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 24c | 81.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +308.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…a7fcbacked No | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +446.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 77.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 76.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 79c | 71.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked No | 20c | 70$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 23c | 70$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae49…4623backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 37c | 60.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.