TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff34…e2c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$10.52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,478Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+34%+$842.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+190.9%+$570.9
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.87
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$468
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$167.49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$336
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$84.4
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$51.75
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.58
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$263
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$752.98
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$464
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$321.75
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$15.29
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$227
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.63
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$680.85
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58%+$17.4
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+91.6%+$22.9
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$44.08
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Myanmar vs. Guam: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.9
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$63.5
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+62.4%+$41.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$54.58
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$4.33
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+39.1%+$37.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+27.5%+$17.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+113.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$136.38
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$116
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$22.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.