Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x483c0277d8e873f665b556a2b11a0580c394caed3c74eaa500f8b2103efd317e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fad…f5c0backed Yes | 53c | 10,381$5,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.73 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +9.1wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 24c | 8,527$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.11 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 34c | 7,661$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.76 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 77c | 6,870$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.73 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 5,850$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed No | 4c | 5,411$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…d531backed No | 1c | 5,125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…82e1backed Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 19c | 4,058$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.76 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed No | 43c | 4,015$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.1 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 62c | 3,785$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.56 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab0b…4cd6backed No | 14c | 3,544$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 6c | 3,333$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.34 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 78c | 3,253$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.53 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Yes | 71c | 2,811$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.86 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 19c | 2,779$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.82 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 9c | 2,494$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.65 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 2,398$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 57c | 2,093$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.68 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed No | 20c | 2,048$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.38 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…8c4abacked No | 51c | 1,975$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +445.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 12c | 1,941$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 80c | 1,869$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.14 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 43c | 1,849$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked No | 22c | 1,828$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 15c | 1,828$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…af89backed No | 11c | 1,533$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 10c | 1,475$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 10c | 1,234$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 24c | 1,200$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 35c | 1,200$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.55 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…5fccbacked Yes | 48c | 1,190$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,176$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…ca36backed No | 15c | 1,047$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,042$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…2ecdbacked No | 7c | 1,041$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,039$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.3 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…944dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,039$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +812.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 43c | 1,026$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.55 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed No | 9c | 1,022$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 31c | 1,022$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.19 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…65abbacked No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 22c | 979.15$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f9…c7cdbacked Yes | 73c | 860.62$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 50c | 833.87$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.93 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…08f0backed Yes | 51c | 722.56$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.56 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +301.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcf…144fbacked No | 1c | 714.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…5203backed Yes | 57c | 671$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 76c | 664.54$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 12c | 662.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 43c | 657$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.48 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked No | 11c | 652.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked No | 15c | 650.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 73c | 643.3$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 26c | 617.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 21c | 612.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -14.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 73c | 581.56$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 24c | 555.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.77 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 65c | 541.53$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +721.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 33c | 517.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Yes | 70c | 514$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…9d11backed No | 9c | 508.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…2e6ebacked No | 45c | 466.67$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…51ffbacked No | 3c | 461.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +247.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked No | 43c | 460.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3b…53f8backed No | 11c | 460$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 7c | 457.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…725cbacked Yes | 58c | 430.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 47c | 429.97$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.48 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…459fbacked No | 43c | 426.65$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 47c | 426.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed Yes | 71c | 414.17$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 53c | 402.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…a3b9backed No | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 58c | 400$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed No | 48c | 399.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…e2b0backed No | 11c | 366.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…b771backed No | 20c | 366.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 12c | 343.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6d…5453backed No | 9c | 340.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b1e2backed No | 10c | 340$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked No | 30c | 337.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 48c | 333.78$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…8902backed No | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…3c06backed Yes | 55c | 331.01$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked No | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked No | 16c | 310.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed Yes | 35c | 301.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.26 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed No | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…bca8backed No | 42c | 288.38$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…e792backed No | 56c | 268.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 29c | 264.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.12 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…1df1backed No | 8c | 258.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 40c | 252.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 15c | 251.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fc…ef88backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.