Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f285d01fb09c3b19444344e6b2790dd2cf039c97d62474dbf75af1245bcc186
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $982,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,384,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $982,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Yes | 77c | 345,698$266,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,522.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 23c | 128,800$29,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,623.98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 23c | 83,680$19,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,273.6 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 24c | 51,232$12,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,094.25 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 38,395$9,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,470.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 23c | 23,029$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 15,600$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes | 74c | 15,533$11,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 26c | 15,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 75c | 13,993$10,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.73 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 74c | 11,986$8,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.89 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 23c | 10,742$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.28 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 10,516$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.66 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 23c | 10,000$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 24c | 9,550$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.19 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 26c | 9,520$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 23c | 8,907$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 8,795$6,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.72 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 74c | 8,509$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.53 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 73c | 8,000$5,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 26c | 7,797$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.19 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 26c | 7,535$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 25c | 6,624$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.16 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 23c | 5,678$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 74c | 3,716$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 26c | 3,526$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 25c | 3,337$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 73c | 3,265$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 74c | 3,000$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 74c | 2,747$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 23c | 2,401$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.51 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 69c | 2,300$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 74c | 2,297$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Yes | 74c | 2,109$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 23c | 2,100$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.09 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 26c | 1,993$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 23c | 1,696$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…fc81backed Yes | 74c | 1,562$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 1,460$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.23 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Yes | 74c | 1,450$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…513bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,369$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 27c | 1,360$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 70c | 1,108$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.58 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…b3adbacked No | 26c | 1,100$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 73c | 1,099$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 74c | 1,088$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 24c | 1,042$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.41 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 73c | 1,028$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 72c | 1,005$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.33 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.91 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 27c | 999.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 938.05$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.97 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 73c | 811.77$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.32 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 75c | 801.72$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.72 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…8f2cbacked Yes | 73c | 801.12$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 23c | 788.47$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 72c | 754.24$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 27c | 700.43$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.11 | 98 | 11.2%11 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked Yes | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 70c | 683.32$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 75c | 668.69$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.17 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 74c | 616.65$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.33 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 74c | 616.22$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 72c | 597.99$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 27c | 571.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 27c | 532.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 69c | 522.26$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 21c | 510$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Yes | 72c | 504.22$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…ed5ebacked Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…79dfbacked Yes | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 27c | 496.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 74c | 477.78$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.22 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb3…bf2ebacked Yes | 74c | 474.73$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 30c | 419.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 26c | 392.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 27c | 388.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?this page
- Will FC Alverca vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Alverca win on 2025-12-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.