TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No41c39,170$16,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,071.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes75c22,622$16,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.5530031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No26c22,000$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,719.916132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c17,282$7,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,169.4976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No66c14,486$9,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,563.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No25c11,057$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.092222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes33c10,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,699.961650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes75c8,796$6,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.911354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No57c8,256$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9513953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No24c7,051$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.4114732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes74c7,000$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8204540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No25c4,400$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.9923622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Yes40c4,282$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.422365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes53c4,029$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.43441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No38c3,488$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.586253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa461…833fbacked Yes61c3,283$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.313740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…13d1backed No66c3,262$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes41c2,799$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.361752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes38c2,550$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.0818641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes74c2,185$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.025154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8d…8a96backed Yes74c2,110$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5805740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes77c2,000$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.072138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.841850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes44c1,616$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.622231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes75c1,573$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.3336038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c16…39c7backed Yes64c1,545$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes65c1,500$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.017740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.352965.5%19 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Yes37c1,348$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.87785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes75c1,340$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6617664.8%114 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes54c1,127$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.763132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No23c1,100$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9925954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Yes55c1,098$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.887338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No38c1,074$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9521444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes71c1,064$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.4312441.9%52 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc90d…316abacked Yes75c1,033$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…f34ebacked No5c1,018$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.36425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No26c999.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.994751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No27c999.73$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes78c970.86$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.032634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Yes67c900.69$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.691681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes66c895.07$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.611,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9810…f117backed Yes51c778.8$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No34c774.94$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5620856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes53c756.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.061040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes47c715.41$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.273,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes66c710.7$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.673145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes29c705.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.26128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed No27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e4f…569cbacked Yes57c696.03$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.484100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes74c680.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.27842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6717851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes41c663.6$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.227032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes45c662.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.483228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes40c640.78$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.782259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes40c580.08$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.053271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No26c561.38$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.25530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes78c548.39$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.516442.7%70 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4935…4662backed Yes51c536.55$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No53c503$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.319845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a7…eb44backed Yes76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94df…2dcebacked Yes68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick28cpaid-6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205930.5%18 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes73c490$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.48838.6%34 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No27c478$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.520322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes61c467.94$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.944831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4206…0836backed Yes71c458$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Yes40c449.27$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes56c449.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.094050%20 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90a…b2fbbacked Yes40c445.25$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.412450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.412572%18 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925070%35 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes63c398.64$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0231554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77ff…4ddebacked Yes67c381.72$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-78.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes53c376.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4516841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1a…8480backed Yes34c376.27$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes46c371.56$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.913843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes37c371.07$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.072835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ec…2065backed No5c364.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-59%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes34c363.76$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.787247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes53c339.07$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.076456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…2f17backed Yes42c329.84$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+97.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes73c311$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.979643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Yes32c309.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.784040%16 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes12c300$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26410629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes72c299.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes45c289.95$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.892254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc317…4f97backed Yes58c281.54$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes55c272.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.724447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes74c271.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.681457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes75c266.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.616753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5665…21dabacked Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x79f2…118bbacked Yes74c254.05$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.051384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.522656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Yes49c236.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.674240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4b…b34bbacked Yes47c214.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.