Fifa International · resolved market
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6c33980a625f8ddf6567082653c2712ad41159bffa783587cd926538307b03e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 6c | 10,169$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.8 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 30c | 8,739$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 76c | 7,924$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.97 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 7c | 4,416$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.12 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 3,326$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.8 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed No | 78c | 2,564$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.98 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 2,512$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 76c | 2,200$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 29c | 2,048$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 1,971$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,654$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,446$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked No | 71c | 1,320$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 13c | 1,288$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 766.38$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 79c | 728.99$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 25c | 576.03$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 23c | 421.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…2507backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…d47ebacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 6c | 385.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…b82dbacked No | 80c | 374.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…90e6backed Yes | 6c | 325$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 71c | 302.23$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Yes | 25c | 300.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…58b4backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 17c | 266.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb19…7678backed No | 76c | 256.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…9c54backed Yes | 9c | 221.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Yes | 22c | 202$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4df…3b5abacked Yes | 29c | 193.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…1eb0backed Yes | 11c | 189.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Yes | 29c | 187.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…aa1ebacked Yes | 8c | 177.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed No | 67c | 148.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…9783backed Yes | 17c | 145.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 143$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 19c | 142.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed No | 73c | 131.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…f4d3backed Yes | 29c | 108.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…2cc3backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…d47abacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…cc35backed No | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…af66backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…cbe6backed Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes | 29c | 71.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…5348backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…5602backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 53c | 21.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…a0fdbacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-22?this page
- Will Egypt vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?No won
- Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.